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NHTSA complaints and recalls per vehicle

2,449,969events in the training captures
2models serving questions
1979 → 2026span of the captures
8results
nhtsa · World model · public
01 · Data

Dataset versions

A dataset version is a capture of the source as of a date: its event spine and the files training reads.

1 dataset version

nhtsa nhtsa @ asof-2026-10-08

llm_report · data_report.md

nhtsa: stage 01 Data

Inputs. NHTSA ODI flat files fetched 2026-10-10 from static.nhtsa.gov/odi/ffdd: FLAT_CMPL.zip (complaints since 1995, 2,255,013 rows), FLAT_RCL_PRE_2010.zip and FLAT_RCL_POST_2010.zip (recalls since 1966, 327,565 rows), field lists CMPL.txt and RCL.txt. Kept unaltered under raw/.

Output. nhtsa on line universal: 2,449,969 events on 99,014 streams, 1979-10-12 to 2026-10-08. Stream is the vehicle, MAKE | MODEL | MODEL YEAR; 91% of vehicle complaints share their key with some vehicle recall.

Decisions (owner-confirmed 2026-10-10).

  • ts is DATEA, the date the record was added to ODI's file, on both tables. Since 2005 it

equals the complaint's received date in 99%+ of rows; recalls land 0–3 days after the Part 573 filing. Before 2005 complaints were keyed in with lags of weeks to months. Received, incident, filing and owner-notification dates stay in raw/ only.

  • Verb: the component recoded by prefix into 23 families shared by both taxonomies (complaint

intake switched to consumer names around 2012, recalls kept engineering names); unmatched components are other (mostly UNKNOWN OR OTHER, child seats, interior lighting, trailer hitches). The full component string is the fact component; the model year is the fact model_year (9999 means unknown).

  • Recalls are distinct on campaign, vehicle and component: since 2020 the file lists a recall once

per part number (132,446 repeats rejected). 163 complaint rows rejected: 24 with no make/model/year, 139 with no component.

  • kind is complaint or recall. Facts: complaint severity, vehicle attributes and source

(cmpl_type); recall type, origin (influenced_by: MFR, ODI, OVSC), units affected, FMVSS. Narratives and personal fields (VIN, city, dealer, operator name) are not facts.

Drift. At ingest, 51 verb flags (27 spikes, 24 dropouts), the large ones real-world episodes: Firestone tires 2000, Toyota acceleration 2010, forward-collision braking 2022. At the 2021-06 split, verb-mix TVD 0.21: driver-assist families are nearly absent before it (forward_collision ×55, back_over ×32), air bags and tires halve.

Open questions and caveats.

  • NHTSA's May 2021 file rebuild says make, model and component names "may have changed over

time"; complaints received before then may carry components recoded after the fact, possibly toward a later recall. Test anchors are kept after 2021-06-01; training-era labels and the component of training anchors carry this caveat. Old complaints keep old-era names, so there was no wholesale rename.

  • A recall usually spans several model years (61% of campaigns since 2010); the universal line

cannot link sibling streams.

  • Tires, equipment and child-seat products are in the spine as their own streams; targets filter

them with prod_type and rcltypecd.

Next stage. Author the Atlas with its cutoff at 2021-06-01, so vocabularies and fact kinds are read on training events only.

Receipts (2)
ingest_report.json
{
  "source": "nhtsa",
  "tables": [
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL.txt",
      "format": "tsv",
      "rows_read": 2255013,
      "events": 2254850,
      "envelope": {
        "ts": "DATEA",
        "stream": [
          "MAKETXT",
          "MODELTXT",
          "YEARTXT"
        ],
        "type": "family",
        "parent_id": "ODINO",
        "event_id": "CMPLID"
      },
      "facts": {
        "CRASH": "crash",
        "FIRE": "fire",
        "INJURED": "injured",
        "DEATHS": "deaths",
        "COMPDESC": "component",
        "STATE": "state",
        "MILES": "miles",
        "OCCURENCES": "occurences",
        "CMPL_TYPE": "cmpl_type",
        "POLICE_RPT_YN": "police_rpt_yn",
        "ORIG_OWNER_YN": "orig_owner_yn",
        "ANTI_BRAKES_YN": "anti_brakes_yn",
        "CRUISE_CONT_YN": "cruise_cont_yn",
        "NUM_CYLS": "num_cyls",
        "DRIVE_TRAIN": "drive_train",
        "FUEL_SYS": "fuel_sys",
        "FUEL_TYPE": "fuel_type",
        "TRANS_TYPE": "trans_type",
        "VEH_SPEED": "veh_speed",
        "PROD_TYPE": "prod_type",
        "MEDICAL_ATTN": "medical_attn",
        "VEHICLES_TOWED_YN": "vehicles_towed_yn",
        "YEARTXT": "model_year"
      },
      "constants": {
        "kind": "complaint"
      }
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_RCL_PRE_2010.txt",
      "format": "tsv",
      "rows_read": 81710,
      "events": 81369,
      "envelope": {
        "ts": "DATEA",
        "stream": [
          "MAKETXT",
          "MODELTXT",
          "YEARTXT"
        ],
        "type": "family",
        "actor": "MFGNAME",
        "parent_id": "CAMPNO",
        "event_id": "RECORD_ID"
      },
      "facts": {
        "COMPNAME": "component",
        "RCLTYPECD": "rcltypecd",
        "POTAFF": "potaff",
        "INFLUENCED_BY": "influenced_by",
        "FMVSS": "fmvss",
        "YEARTXT": "model_year"
      },
      "constants": {
        "kind": "recall"
      }
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_RCL_POST_2010.txt",
      "format": "tsv",
      "rows_read": 245855,
      "events": 113750,
      "envelope": {
        "ts": "DATEA",
        "stream": [
          "MAKETXT",
          "MODELTXT",
          "YEARTXT"
        ],
        "type": "family",
        "actor": "MFGNAME",
        "parent_id": "CAMPNO",
        "event_id": "RECORD_ID"
      },
      "facts": {
        "COMPNAME": "component",
        "RCLTYPECD": "rcltypecd",
        "POTAFF": "potaff",
        "INFLUENCED_BY": "influenced_by",
        "FMVSS": "fmvss",
        "YEARTXT": "model_year"
      },
      "constants": {
        "kind": "recall"
      }
    }
  ],
  "rows_read": 2582578,
  "events": 2449969,
  "rejected": {
    "FLAT_CMPL: no stream": 24,
    "FLAT_CMPL: no type": 139,
    "FLAT_RCL_POST_2010: repeats an earlier row on CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, COMPNAME": 132105,
    "FLAT_RCL_PRE_2010: repeats an earlier row on CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, COMPNAME": 341
  },
  "reject_examples": [
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 102117,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 106524,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 109090,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 109371,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 109379,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 111830,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 113638,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 116308,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 116320,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 138044,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 138054,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 138056,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169333,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169506,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169605,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169729,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169788,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169793,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169797,
      "reason": "no type"
    },
    {
      "table": "FLAT_CMPL",
      "row": 169798,
      "reason": "no type"
    }
  ],
  "streams": 99014,
  "types": 24,
  "bundles": 493549,
  "bundled_events": 1353966,
  "first_ts": "1979-10-12T00:00:00Z",
  "last_ts": "2026-10-08T00:00:00Z",
  "drift": {
    "n_periods": 563,
    "n_events": 2449969,
    "structural_types": [],
    "verb_flags": [
      {
        "period": "2000-09",
        "verb": "tires",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 5747,
        "trailing_median": 102.5,
        "ratio": 56.06829268292683
      },
      {
        "period": "2000-08",
        "verb": "tires",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 3115,
        "trailing_median": 92.0,
        "ratio": 33.858695652173914
      },
      {
        "period": "2000-10",
        "verb": "tires",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 3815,
        "trailing_median": 129.0,
        "ratio": 29.573643410852714
      },
      {
        "period": "2017-11",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 2257,
        "trailing_median": 106.0,
        "ratio": 21.29245283018868
      },
      {
        "period": "2007-03",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1446,
        "trailing_median": 159.5,
        "ratio": 9.065830721003135
      },
      {
        "period": "2022-02",
        "verb": "forward_collision",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1506,
        "trailing_median": 169.5,
        "ratio": 8.88495575221239
      },
      {
        "period": "2010-02",
        "verb": "service_brakes",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 2893,
        "trailing_median": 352.0,
        "ratio": 8.21875
      },
      {
        "period": "2017-12",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 816,
        "trailing_median": 106.0,
        "ratio": 7.69811320754717
      },
      {
        "period": "2004-04",
        "verb": "other",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 915,
        "trailing_median": 128.5,
        "ratio": 7.120622568093385
      },
      {
        "period": "2010-02",
        "verb": "speed_control",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1937,
        "trailing_median": 284.0,
        "ratio": 6.820422535211268
      },
      {
        "period": "2006-03",
        "verb": "exterior_lighting",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 895,
        "trailing_median": 132.0,
        "ratio": 6.78030303030303
      },
      {
        "period": "1995-04",
        "verb": "structure",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 255,
        "trailing_median": 41.5,
        "ratio": 6.144578313253012
      },
      {
        "period": "2010-02",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 315,
        "trailing_median": 54.5,
        "ratio": 5.779816513761468
      },
      {
        "period": "1995-04",
        "verb": "seat_belts",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 274,
        "trailing_median": 51.0,
        "ratio": 5.372549019607843
      },
      {
        "period": "2013-09",
        "verb": "latches_locks",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 436,
        "trailing_median": 81.5,
        "ratio": 5.3496932515337425
      },
      {
        "period": "2006-05",
        "verb": "fuel_propulsion",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 917,
        "trailing_median": 171.5,
        "ratio": 5.346938775510204
      },
      {
        "period": "2013-11",
        "verb": "latches_locks",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 544,
        "trailing_median": 103.0,
        "ratio": 5.281553398058253
      },
      {
        "period": "2010-03",
        "verb": "speed_control",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1782,
        "trailing_median": 353.5,
        "ratio": 5.041018387553041
      },
      {
        "period": "2009-04",
        "verb": "exterior_lighting",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 832,
        "trailing_median": 171.0,
        "ratio": 4.8654970760233915
      },
      {
        "period": "1996-04",
        "verb": "electrical",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1000,
        "trailing_median": 207.5,
        "ratio": 4.819277108433735
      },
      {
        "period": "2010-02",
        "verb": "steering",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1547,
        "trailing_median": 342.0,
        "ratio": 4.523391812865497
      },
      {
        "period": "2015-07",
        "verb": "other",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 984,
        "trailing_median": 219.5,
        "ratio": 4.482915717539863
      },
      {
        "period": "2021-02",
        "verb": "back_over",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 167,
        "trailing_median": 38.0,
        "ratio": 4.394736842105263
      },
      {
        "period": "1998-09",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 233,
        "trailing_median": 54.0,
        "ratio": 4.314814814814815
      },
      {
        "period": "1998-10",
        "verb": "suspension",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 495,
        "trailing_median": 115.0,
        "ratio": 4.304347826086956
      },
      {
        "period": "2007-10",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 1010,
        "trailing_median": 235.0,
        "ratio": 4.297872340425532
      },
      {
        "period": "2024-10",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 88,
        "trailing_median": 21.5,
        "ratio": 4.093023255813954
      },
      {
        "period": "1990-11",
        "verb": "seat_belts",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 0,
        "trailing_median": 22.0,
        "ratio": 0.0
      },
      {
        "period": "1990-11",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 0,
        "trailing_median": 33.5,
        "ratio": 0.0
      },
      {
        "period": "1990-12",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 0,
        "trailing_median": 20.0,
        "ratio": 0.0
      },
      {
        "period": "1991-01",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 0,
        "trailing_median": 20.0,
        "ratio": 0.0
      },
      {
        "period": "2020-12",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 1,
        "trailing_median": 260.5,
        "ratio": 0.003838771593090211
      },
      {
        "period": "2021-01",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 1,
        "trailing_median": 260.5,
        "ratio": 0.003838771593090211
      },
      {
        "period": "1990-09",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 1,
        "trailing_median": 20.0,
        "ratio": 0.05
      },
      {
        "period": "1991-12",
        "verb": "service_brakes",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 2,
        "trailing_median": 24.0,
        "ratio": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "latches_locks",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 3,
        "trailing_median": 36.0,
        "ratio": 0.08333333333333333
      },
      {
        "period": "2021-03",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 5,
        "trailing_median": 37.5,
        "ratio": 0.13333333333333333
      },
      {
        "period": "1990-10",
        "verb": "seat_belts",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 3,
        "trailing_median": 22.0,
        "ratio": 0.13636363636363635
      },
      {
        "period": "2018-05",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 54,
        "trailing_median": 382.0,
        "ratio": 0.14136125654450263
      },
      {
        "period": "2020-11",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 46,
        "trailing_median": 260.5,
        "ratio": 0.1765834932821497
      },
      {
        "period": "2021-02",
        "verb": "stability_control",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 29,
        "trailing_median": 152.5,
        "ratio": 0.1901639344262295
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "equipment",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 24,
        "trailing_median": 119.0,
        "ratio": 0.20168067226890757
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "wheels",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 20,
        "trailing_median": 90.5,
        "ratio": 0.22099447513812154
      },
      {
        "period": "1997-02",
        "verb": "suspension",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 27,
        "trailing_median": 117.0,
        "ratio": 0.23076923076923078
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "forward_collision",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 138,
        "trailing_median": 579.5,
        "ratio": 0.23813632441760138
      },
      {
        "period": "1995-08",
        "verb": "wheels",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 7,
        "trailing_median": 29.0,
        "ratio": 0.2413793103448276
      },
      {
        "period": "1995-08",
        "verb": "parking_brake",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 8,
        "trailing_median": 33.0,
        "ratio": 0.24242424242424243
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "tires",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 38,
        "trailing_median": 156.5,
        "ratio": 0.24281150159744408
      },
      {
        "period": "2014-03",
        "verb": "latches_locks",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 74,
        "trailing_median": 301.5,
        "ratio": 0.24543946932006633
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "engine",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 414,
        "trailing_median": 1684.5,
        "ratio": 0.24577025823686555
      },
      {
        "period": "2026-10",
        "verb": "seat_belts",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 34,
        "trailing_median": 138.0,
        "ratio": 0.2463768115942029
      }
    ],
    "volume_flags": [
      {
        "period": "1980-05",
        "n_events": 38.0,
        "trailing_median": 128.5,
        "ratio": 0.29571984435797666
      },
      {
        "period": "1980-06",
        "n_events": 16.0,
        "trailing_median": 117.0,
        "ratio": 0.13675213675213677
      },
      {
        "period": "1980-07",
        "n_events": 209.0,
        "trailing_median": 79.0,
        "ratio": 2.6455696202531644
      },
      {
        "period": "1980-10",
        "n_events": 26.0,
        "trailing_median": 117.5,
        "ratio": 0.22127659574468084
      },
      {
        "period": "1980-11",
        "n_events": 12.0,
        "trailing_median": 68.0,
        "ratio": 0.17647058823529413
      },
      {
        "period": "1980-12",
        "n_events": 99.0,
        "trailing_median": 32.0,
        "ratio": 3.09375
      },
      {
        "period": "1981-06",
        "n_events": 144.0,
        "trailing_median": 70.0,
        "ratio": 2.057142857142857
      },
      {
        "period": "1981-09",
        "n_events": 54.0,
        "trailing_median": 84.0,
        "ratio": 0.6428571428571429
      },
      {
        "period": "1981-11",
        "n_events": 18.0,
        "trailing_median": 84.0,
        "ratio": 0.21428571428571427
      },
      {
        "period": "1981-12",
        "n_events": 51.0,
        "trailing_median": 84.0,
        "ratio": 0.6071428571428571
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-02",
        "n_events": 80.0,
        "trailing_median": 52.5,
        "ratio": 1.5238095238095237
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-04",
        "n_events": 82.0,
        "trailing_median": 53.0,
        "ratio": 1.5471698113207548
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-06",
        "n_events": 103.0,
        "trailing_median": 54.5,
        "ratio": 1.889908256880734
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-07",
        "n_events": 27.0,
        "trailing_median": 67.5,
        "ratio": 0.4
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-08",
        "n_events": 28.0,
        "trailing_median": 67.5,
        "ratio": 0.4148148148148148
      },
      {
        "period": "1982-11",
        "n_events": 134.0,
        "trailing_median": 47.5,
        "ratio": 2.8210526315789473
      },
      {
        "period": "1983-03",
        "n_events": 47.0,
        "trailing_median": 74.5,
        "ratio": 0.6308724832214765
      },
      {
        "period": "1983-05",
        "n_events": 44.0,
        "trailing_median": 74.5,
        "ratio": 0.5906040268456376
      },
      {
        "period": "1983-06",
        "n_events": 21.0,
        "trailing_median": 67.0,
        "ratio": 0.31343283582089554
      },
      {
        "period": "1983-07",
        "n_events": 27.0,
        "trailing_median": 56.0,
        "ratio": 0.48214285714285715
      },
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}
mapping.yaml
# NHTSA ODI complaints and recalls, one spine keyed by vehicle (make | model | model year).
# Capture: static.nhtsa.gov/odi/ffdd/{cmpl,rcl}, fetched 2026-10-10 (pipeline/ingest/data/nhtsa/captures/2026-10-10).
# Verb: the component recoded into 23 families across both taxonomies (complaint intake renamed its
# components around 2012; recalls kept theirs); unmatched components are `other`. The full component
# string rides along as the fact `component`. Recalls are one row per part number since 2020: distinct
# on campaign, vehicle and component.
# ts is DATEA on both tables, the date the record was added to ODI's file: the visibility time.
# Complaint LDATE (received) and FAILDATE (incident), recall RCDATE (Part 573 received) and ODATE
# (owners notified) are claimed dates and stay in raw/ only.
# Free text (CDESCR, recall summaries) and personal fields (VIN, city, dealer, operator name) stay in raw/ only.
mapping: 1
source: nhtsa
tables:
  - table: ../universal/nhtsa/raw/FLAT_CMPL.txt
    format: tsv
    quoted: false
    columns: [CMPLID, ODINO, MFR_NAME, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, CRASH, FAILDATE, FIRE, INJURED, DEATHS,
      COMPDESC, CITY, STATE, VIN, DATEA, LDATE, MILES, OCCURENCES, CDESCR, CMPL_TYPE, POLICE_RPT_YN, PURCH_DT,
      ORIG_OWNER_YN, ANTI_BRAKES_YN, CRUISE_CONT_YN, NUM_CYLS, DRIVE_TRAIN, FUEL_SYS, FUEL_TYPE, TRANS_TYPE,
      VEH_SPEED, DOT, TIRE_SIZE, LOC_OF_TIRE, TIRE_FAIL_TYPE, ORIG_EQUIP_YN, MANUF_DT, SEAT_TYPE, RESTRAINT_TYPE,
      DEALER_NAME, DEALER_TEL, DEALER_CITY, DEALER_STATE, DEALER_ZIP, PROD_TYPE, REPAIRED_YN, MEDICAL_ATTN,
      VEHICLES_TOWED_YN, STATE_OF_INCIDENT, VEHICLE_OPERATOR]
    ts: DATEA
    stream: [MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT]
    recode:
      family:
        from: COMPDESC
        match: prefix
        other: other
        values: {AIR BAGS: air_bags, ELECTRICAL SYSTEM: electrical, POWER TRAIN: power_train, ENGINE: engine,
          STEERING: steering, SERVICE BRAKES: service_brakes, FUEL/PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion,
          FUEL SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, HYBRID PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, STRUCTURE: structure,
          SUSPENSION: suspension, VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL: speed_control, EXTERIOR LIGHTING: exterior_lighting,
          VISIBILITY: visibility, TIRES: tires, SEAT BELTS: seat_belts, SEATS: seats, WHEELS: wheels,
          LATCHES/LOCKS/LINKAGES: latches_locks, ELECTRONIC STABILITY CONTROL: stability_control,
          TRACTION CONTROL SYSTEM: stability_control, FORWARD COLLISION AVOIDANCE: forward_collision,
          BACK OVER PREVENTION: back_over, LANE DEPARTURE: lane_departure, PARKING BRAKE: parking_brake,
          EQUIPMENT: equipment, EQUIPMENT ADAPTIVE/MOBILITY: other}
    type: family
    also_facts: [YEARTXT]
    thread: ODINO
    event_id: CMPLID
    constants: {kind: complaint}
    facts: [PROD_TYPE, CMPL_TYPE, CRASH, FIRE, INJURED, DEATHS, MEDICAL_ATTN, POLICE_RPT_YN, VEHICLES_TOWED_YN,
      MILES, OCCURENCES, VEH_SPEED, ORIG_OWNER_YN, STATE, ANTI_BRAKES_YN, CRUISE_CONT_YN, NUM_CYLS, DRIVE_TRAIN,
      FUEL_SYS, FUEL_TYPE, TRANS_TYPE, COMPDESC]
    rename: {COMPDESC: component, YEARTXT: model_year}
  - table: ../universal/nhtsa/raw/FLAT_RCL_PRE_2010.txt
    format: tsv
    quoted: false
    columns: [RECORD_ID, CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, MFGCAMPNO, COMPNAME, MFGNAME, BGMAN, ENDMAN, RCLTYPECD,
      POTAFF, ODATE, INFLUENCED_BY, MFGTXT, RCDATE, DATEA, RPNO, FMVSS, DESC_DEFECT, CONEQUENCE_DEFECT,
      CORRECTIVE_ACTION, NOTES, RCL_CMPT_ID, MFR_COMP_NAME, MFR_COMP_DESC, MFR_COMP_PTNO, DO_NOT_DRIVE, PARK_OUTSIDE]
    ts: DATEA
    stream: [MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT]
    recode:
      family:
        from: COMPNAME
        match: prefix
        other: other
        values: {AIR BAGS: air_bags, ELECTRICAL SYSTEM: electrical, POWER TRAIN: power_train, ENGINE: engine,
          STEERING: steering, SERVICE BRAKES: service_brakes, FUEL/PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion,
          FUEL SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, HYBRID PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, STRUCTURE: structure,
          SUSPENSION: suspension, VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL: speed_control, EXTERIOR LIGHTING: exterior_lighting,
          VISIBILITY: visibility, TIRES: tires, SEAT BELTS: seat_belts, SEATS: seats, WHEELS: wheels,
          LATCHES/LOCKS/LINKAGES: latches_locks, ELECTRONIC STABILITY CONTROL: stability_control,
          TRACTION CONTROL SYSTEM: stability_control, FORWARD COLLISION AVOIDANCE: forward_collision,
          BACK OVER PREVENTION: back_over, LANE DEPARTURE: lane_departure, PARKING BRAKE: parking_brake,
          EQUIPMENT: equipment, EQUIPMENT ADAPTIVE/MOBILITY: other}
    type: family
    also_facts: [YEARTXT]
    distinct: [CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, COMPNAME]
    actor: MFGNAME
    thread: CAMPNO
    event_id: RECORD_ID
    constants: {kind: recall}
    facts: [RCLTYPECD, INFLUENCED_BY, POTAFF, FMVSS, COMPNAME]
    rename: {COMPNAME: component, YEARTXT: model_year}
  - table: ../universal/nhtsa/raw/FLAT_RCL_POST_2010.txt
    format: tsv
    quoted: false
    columns: [RECORD_ID, CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, MFGCAMPNO, COMPNAME, MFGNAME, BGMAN, ENDMAN, RCLTYPECD,
      POTAFF, ODATE, INFLUENCED_BY, MFGTXT, RCDATE, DATEA, RPNO, FMVSS, DESC_DEFECT, CONEQUENCE_DEFECT,
      CORRECTIVE_ACTION, NOTES, RCL_CMPT_ID, MFR_COMP_NAME, MFR_COMP_DESC, MFR_COMP_PTNO, DO_NOT_DRIVE, PARK_OUTSIDE]
    ts: DATEA
    stream: [MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT]
    recode:
      family:
        from: COMPNAME
        match: prefix
        other: other
        values: {AIR BAGS: air_bags, ELECTRICAL SYSTEM: electrical, POWER TRAIN: power_train, ENGINE: engine,
          STEERING: steering, SERVICE BRAKES: service_brakes, FUEL/PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion,
          FUEL SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, HYBRID PROPULSION SYSTEM: fuel_propulsion, STRUCTURE: structure,
          SUSPENSION: suspension, VEHICLE SPEED CONTROL: speed_control, EXTERIOR LIGHTING: exterior_lighting,
          VISIBILITY: visibility, TIRES: tires, SEAT BELTS: seat_belts, SEATS: seats, WHEELS: wheels,
          LATCHES/LOCKS/LINKAGES: latches_locks, ELECTRONIC STABILITY CONTROL: stability_control,
          TRACTION CONTROL SYSTEM: stability_control, FORWARD COLLISION AVOIDANCE: forward_collision,
          BACK OVER PREVENTION: back_over, LANE DEPARTURE: lane_departure, PARKING BRAKE: parking_brake,
          EQUIPMENT: equipment, EQUIPMENT ADAPTIVE/MOBILITY: other}
    type: family
    also_facts: [YEARTXT]
    distinct: [CAMPNO, MAKETXT, MODELTXT, YEARTXT, COMPNAME]
    actor: MFGNAME
    thread: CAMPNO
    event_id: RECORD_ID
    constants: {kind: recall}
    facts: [RCLTYPECD, INFLUENCED_BY, POTAFF, FMVSS, COMPNAME]
    rename: {COMPNAME: component, YEARTXT: model_year}
7 files, 3.31 GB
  • Raw · 3 files2.01 GB
  • raw/FLAT_CMPL.txt5bf8af68c5f71.61 GB
  • raw/FLAT_RCL_POST_2010.txt1e0f7a17531b311.5 MB
  • raw/FLAT_RCL_PRE_2010.txt792c261d27ae83.8 MB
  • Event spine · 1 file1.31 GB
  • canonical_events.jsonl9e5f397385f81.31 GB
  • Receipt · 2 files37 kB
  • ingest_report.json1bf53c0a062131 kB
  • mapping.yaml083b7b1c64887 kB
  • Phase_report · 1 file3 kB
  • data_report.md1be90f36bd893 kB
Events
2,449,969 in 99,014 streams
Span
12 Oct 1979 → 8 Oct 2026
Source
nhtsa, as of 8 Oct 2026
Published
10 Oct 2026
02 · Features

Featurization

An Atlas recipe declares how events become model inputs.

1 feature recipe
03 · Training

Recipes and runs

A Praxis recipe fixes the model, the objective and the split.

3 training recipes
3 runs

nhtsa_e2 nhtsa_e2__r1__890bfab0

26 files, 8.45 GB
  • Latent matrices · 4 files6.78 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npydd77cb64dcd91.84 GB
  • action_state_latents.npye9d2e582906b1.84 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy40a5cb2ba3d61.84 GB
  • latents.npy24e874fff7e61.25 GB
  • Auxiliary · 6 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_meta.jsonf0119e65ea6f1.27 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json913522558d2e520 B
  • aux_next_action_head.ptb6232b60bfb015 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy4df155e9fdc428.8 MB
  • progress.jsonl17cda379971d35.9 MB
  • sampling.jsonf2e86a61b050399 B
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files304.7 MB
  • action_sample_ids.json995d2c1aa7aa233.4 MB
  • latent_event_ids.jsonffabc837d06f71.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 4 files17.0 MB
  • action_jepa.ptcd9ee8cb9e002.8 MB
  • checkpoint.ptae036de47ca68.5 MB
  • selected_epoch_0001.pt648642883e912.8 MB
  • selected_epoch_0002.pt7a28138de9bc2.8 MB
  • Metrics · 1 file9.5 MB
  • metrics.json2aeae0f370be9.5 MB
  • Configuration · 7 files438 kB
  • action_feature_names.json323c5c36cc9538 kB
  • asof_config.json612c41617c87484 B
  • checkpoint_selections.json715cba22472b734 B
  • model_config.json5d6156c926c4704 B
  • praxis_execution.json63741d04216a275 B
  • praxis.json5cee63751f1d382 kB
  • run_manifest.json1a045bab2cb616 kB
  • Transform · 1 file104 kB
  • feature_transform.jsoncf31e9079636104 kB
  • Split · 1 file411 B
  • split.jsonf1d98aba73fe411 B
Status
finished
Trained on
nhtsa @ asof-2026-10-08
Origin
code ff0124fac074
Published
17 Oct 2026
8.45 GB26 artifacts

nhtsa_v1 nhtsa_v1__r1__341f0511

21 files, 8.58 GB
  • Latent matrices · 4 files6.78 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npy8192ffc900031.84 GB
  • action_state_latents.npyf2d6d42427ed1.84 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy4857feb6b96e1.84 GB
  • latents.npy2f405d2d7e241.25 GB
  • Auxiliary · 3 files1.47 GB
  • action_sample_meta.jsonf0119e65ea6f1.27 GB
  • aux_next_action_head.ptc6be13eb4b2715 kB
  • progress.jsonl198c3ecd2fbe197.3 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files304.7 MB
  • action_sample_ids.json995d2c1aa7aa233.4 MB
  • latent_event_ids.jsonffabc837d06f71.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files11.3 MB
  • action_jepa.ptcdf7884f41b42.8 MB
  • checkpoint.pt369ae98c271b8.5 MB
  • Metrics · 1 file9.5 MB
  • metrics.jsond679d758a1079.5 MB
  • Configuration · 5 files436 kB
  • action_feature_names.json323c5c36cc9538 kB
  • asof_config.json612c41617c87484 B
  • praxis_execution.jsonce62fea2167e275 B
  • praxis.jsonf3f8928de44d382 kB
  • run_manifest.json1a045bab2cb616 kB
  • Transform · 1 file104 kB
  • feature_transform.jsoncf31e9079636104 kB
  • Evaluation outputs · 2 files24 kB
  • gnomon/nhtsa_recall_v1/47ba2e22-33de-4acb-a6e4-e2d88a8724a6/evaluation.json9425dd5fea863 kB
  • gnomon/nhtsa_recall_v1/47ba2e22-33de-4acb-a6e4-e2d88a8724a6/results.json3dcda84740b721 kB
  • Split · 1 file411 B
  • split.jsonf1d98aba73fe411 B
Status
finished
Trained on
nhtsa @ asof-2026-10-08
Origin
code 00e4d5ca24f4
Published
11 Oct 2026
8.58 GB21 artifacts

nhtsa_smoke_v1 nhtsa_smoke_v1__r1__68f92a4d

19 files, 8.42 GB
  • Latent matrices · 4 files6.78 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npy8b03aafda8101.84 GB
  • action_state_latents.npye7a80537b9601.84 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy81a6805448aa1.84 GB
  • latents.npyeedb952546081.25 GB
  • Auxiliary · 3 files1.31 GB
  • action_sample_meta.jsonf0119e65ea6f1.27 GB
  • aux_next_action_head.ptefca0c2fa3be15 kB
  • progress.jsonl7642f858a00d44.8 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files304.7 MB
  • action_sample_ids.json995d2c1aa7aa233.4 MB
  • latent_event_ids.jsonffabc837d06f71.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files11.3 MB
  • action_jepa.pt2c3eb0609c742.8 MB
  • checkpoint.ptcfc56b8426068.5 MB
  • Metrics · 1 file9.5 MB
  • metrics.jsonef95a9bacd899.5 MB
  • Configuration · 5 files436 kB
  • action_feature_names.json323c5c36cc9538 kB
  • asof_config.json612c41617c87484 B
  • praxis_execution.jsonc9955e0f4b05274 B
  • praxis.jsonf0bc58b7ca59382 kB
  • run_manifest.json1a045bab2cb616 kB
  • Transform · 1 file104 kB
  • feature_transform.jsoncf31e9079636104 kB
  • Split · 1 file411 B
  • split.jsonf1d98aba73fe411 B
Status
finished platform smoke
Trained on
nhtsa @ asof-2026-10-08
Origin
code 00e4d5ca24f4
Published
10 Oct 2026
8.42 GB19 artifacts
04 · Evaluation

How it compares to other methods

uses the world modelother methodcoin flip

AUC is the chance a method ranks a case that happened above one that didn't: 0.5 is a coin flip, 1.0 is perfect.

Complaints likely to be followed by a recall of the vehicle

within a year
world model + all0.632
world model alone0.589
facts0.652
clock0.565
0.500.550.600.650.70

Complaints likely to be followed by a recall of the same part

within a year
world model + all0.587
world model alone0.573
facts0.581
clock0.541
0.500.550.600.650.70
How it is graded: 1 eval config

nhtsa_recall_v1 eval config · revision 4 · pipeline/infer/universal/recipes/nhtsa_recall_v1.yaml

Targets
recall_same_component 365d
recall_any_component 365d
Arms
clock, facts, latent, both
Uncertainty
per episode, paired cluster bootstrap
Drift
at the split
8 cellsover 1 run
All 8 cells, with their numbers and provenance
EvaluationRunTargetArm · headSplitDriftNumbers
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_any_component 365d both · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.632
brier 0.219
n_test 381,633
n_train 1,602,085
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.611
n_anchors 2,182,518
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 83,136
censored_test 115,664
clusters_test 10,096
base_rate_test 0.349
positives_test 133,091
precision_at_k 0.426
positives_train 421,785
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_any_component 365d clock · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.565
brier 0.231
n_test 381,633
n_train 1,602,085
auc_ci_hi 0.584
auc_ci_lo 0.542
n_anchors 2,182,518
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 83,136
censored_test 115,664
clusters_test 10,096
base_rate_test 0.349
positives_test 133,091
precision_at_k 0.252
positives_train 421,785
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_any_component 365d facts · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.652
brier 0.213
n_test 381,633
n_train 1,602,085
auc_ci_hi 0.668
auc_ci_lo 0.634
n_anchors 2,182,518
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 83,136
censored_test 115,664
clusters_test 10,096
base_rate_test 0.349
positives_test 133,091
precision_at_k 0.751
positives_train 421,785
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_any_component 365d latent · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.589
brier 0.227
n_test 381,633
n_train 1,602,085
auc_ci_hi 0.607
auc_ci_lo 0.567
n_anchors 2,182,518
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 83,136
censored_test 115,664
clusters_test 10,096
base_rate_test 0.349
positives_test 133,091
precision_at_k 0.389
positives_train 421,785
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_same_component 365d both · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.587
brier 0.071
n_test 343,590
n_train 1,533,868
auc_ci_hi 0.62
auc_ci_lo 0.548
n_anchors 2,055,623
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 74,310
censored_test 103,855
clusters_test 9,832
base_rate_test 0.075
positives_test 25,866
precision_at_k 0.06
positives_train 86,305
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_same_component 365d clock · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.541
brier 0.07
n_test 343,590
n_train 1,533,868
auc_ci_hi 0.566
auc_ci_lo 0.517
n_anchors 2,055,623
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 74,310
censored_test 103,855
clusters_test 9,832
base_rate_test 0.075
positives_test 25,866
precision_at_k 0.011
positives_train 86,305
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_same_component 365d facts · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.581
brier 0.071
n_test 343,590
n_train 1,533,868
auc_ci_hi 0.618
auc_ci_lo 0.541
n_anchors 2,055,623
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 74,310
censored_test 103,855
clusters_test 9,832
base_rate_test 0.075
positives_test 25,866
precision_at_k 0.059
positives_train 86,305
nhtsa_recall_v1 nhtsa_v1 recall_same_component 365d latent · logistic anchors before the run's cutoff 2021-06-01 fit, from it on test; a training label closing after the cutoff and a test label closing after the data are dropped
verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%
{
 "tvd": 0.2108974314993111,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "engine",
   "ratio": 1.4573434095769975,
   "share_after": 0.16262182445483095,
   "share_before": 0.11158785457576735
  },
  {
   "verb": "forward_collision",
   "ratio": 55.08346224264481,
   "share_after": 0.051000398095041505,
   "share_before": 0.0009258749544533484
  },
  {
   "verb": "other",
   "ratio": 1.8422747631369325,
   "share_after": 0.09766045441811774,
   "share_before": 0.053010797505485256
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2021-06-01.json",
 "n_after": 542584,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.21 across 2021-06-01: engine 11%→16%, forward_collision 0%→5%, other 5%→10%",
 "boundary": "2021-06-01",
 "n_before": 1907385,
 "convention": "before: day < 2021-06-01, as the run's split"
}
auc 0.573
brier 0.071
n_test 343,590
n_train 1,533,868
auc_ci_hi 0.599
auc_ci_lo 0.546
n_anchors 2,055,623
k_fraction 0.01
purged_train 74,310
censored_test 103,855
clusters_test 9,832
base_rate_test 0.075
positives_test 25,866
precision_at_k 0.072
positives_train 86,305
05 · Serving

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