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GitHub event streams

pooled8

14,181,882events in the training captures
16models serving questions
2020 → 2026span of the captures
440results
oss · pooled8 · World model · public
01 · Data

Dataset versions

A dataset version is a capture of the source as of a date: its event spine and the files training reads.

2 dataset versions

pooled8 pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25

the eight streams of the ontology 3.3 pooled control, staged for pooled_v1 on jon-1627: Node's 2026-08-25 capture with the July captures of the other seven, 7,138,794 events by the runs' receipts; members recorded where they are (modal://jon-1627/vei-oss-data/praxis/pooled_v1/streams); see REPORT.md

llm_report · REPORT.md

pooled8@asof-2026-08-25 — data stage report

Recorded 2026-10-13 as part of the OSS line's migration to the factory. The data already existed; nothing was rematerialized or read in bulk.

What it is. The eight streams of the ontology 3.3 pooled control, staged for pooled_v1 on jon-1627: Node's 2026-08-25 capture with the July captures of the other seven, 7,138,794 events by the runs' receipts. A pool is its own source: its runs read it as one body of data, even where a member's bytes are also a single-repo dataset.

Output, by identity. 8 member spines, recorded where they are (modal://jon-1627/vei-oss-data/praxis/pooled_v1/streams/<member>). Each member's digest is the one already on record (its single-repo dataset, or the sync manifest staged beside it); counts and span are copied from the single-repo dataset with the same digest.

Drift. Members drawn from single-repo datasets carry their ingest-time checks there. A pool has no single calendar split (each stream is split at its own time quantile), so no split-time check was run; members without a single-repo dataset of their own have no drift record, a caveat on any result.

17 files, 6.42 GB
  • Event spine · 8 files6.42 GB
  • 0/rust-lang__rust/canonical_events.jsonlb3ddaebe275a1.47 GB
  • 1/nodejs__node/canonical_events.jsonl67e5cb433a29729.1 MB
  • 2/kubernetes__kubernetes/canonical_events.jsonlac20f85b92071.37 GB
  • 3/NixOS__nixpkgs/canonical_events.jsonl75e2120c47be1.16 GB
  • 4/apache__airflow/canonical_events.jsonl0d49ca40bfe6907.0 MB
  • 5/bitcoin__bitcoin/canonical_events.jsonl40b09b21f626422.5 MB
  • 6/tryghost__ghost/canonical_events.jsonl1ef58d836365312.8 MB
  • 7/opencv__opencv/canonical_events.jsonl4913676336d951.8 MB
  • Phase_report · 1 file1 kB
  • REPORT.mddbd62e8f94d51 kB
  • Receipt · 8 files784 B
  • 0/rust-lang__rust/sync_manifest.jsona57131618b3398 B
  • 1/nodejs__node/sync_manifest.json8f9a1be4f0d198 B
  • 2/kubernetes__kubernetes/sync_manifest.jsonaf4ce31b20ba98 B
  • 3/NixOS__nixpkgs/sync_manifest.json4db675f44d5598 B
  • 4/apache__airflow/sync_manifest.jsonbeb2c2ff53dc98 B
  • 5/bitcoin__bitcoin/sync_manifest.jsondea576addd1498 B
  • 6/tryghost__ghost/sync_manifest.json9bc1cb6e4f0b98 B
  • 7/opencv__opencv/sync_manifest.jsoncf27cfb7506498 B
Events
7,138,794 in 8 streams
Span
1 Jan 2020 → 29 Jul 2026
Source
GitHub events API (OSS canonical spines)
Published
13 Oct 2026
15 modelstrained or exported over it
pooled_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled_lr1e4_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_flat_s9_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_flat_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_flat_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_tail8_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_tail16_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_tail40_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_tail40_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_tail20_s7_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled1m_w256_tail20_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_tail8_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026pooled8_w256_tail16_s8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026

pooled8 pooled8 @ asof-2026-07-29

the eight streams of the July pooled8 record (drivers_v3), as that run read them: 7,043,088 events, Node's June capture of events created since 2020-01-01 among them; members recorded where they are (archive://Strangelab/ingest-data/oss_events); see REPORT.md

llm_report · REPORT.md

pooled8@asof-2026-07-29 — data stage report

Recorded 2026-10-13 as part of the OSS line's migration to the factory. The data already existed; nothing was rematerialized or read in bulk.

What it is. The eight streams of the July pooled8 record (drivers_v3), as that run read them: 7,043,088 events, Node's June capture of events created since 2020-01-01 among them. A pool is its own source: its runs read it as one body of data, even where a member's bytes are also a single-repo dataset.

Output, by identity. 8 member spines, recorded where they are (archive://Strangelab/ingest-data/oss_events/<member>). Each member's digest is the one already on record (its single-repo dataset, or the sync manifest staged beside it); counts and span are copied from the single-repo dataset with the same digest.

Drift. Members drawn from single-repo datasets carry their ingest-time checks there. A pool has no single calendar split (each stream is split at its own time quantile), so no split-time check was run; members without a single-repo dataset of their own have no drift record, a caveat on any result.

9 files, 6.24 GB
  • Event spine · 8 files6.24 GB
  • apache__airflow/canonical_events.jsonl0d49ca40bfe6907.0 MB
  • bitcoin__bitcoin/canonical_events.jsonl40b09b21f626422.5 MB
  • kubernetes__kubernetes/canonical_events_created_since_2020-01-01.jsonlac20f85b92071.37 GB
  • NixOS__nixpkgs/canonical_events_created_since_2020-01-01.jsonl75e2120c47be1.16 GB
  • nodejs__node/canonical_events_created_since_2020-01-01.jsonl5c15cf11c75c547.2 MB
  • opencv__opencv/canonical_events.jsonl4913676336d951.8 MB
  • rust-lang__rust/canonical_events.jsonlb3ddaebe275a1.47 GB
  • tryghost__ghost/canonical_events_created_since_2020-01-01.jsonl1ef58d836365312.8 MB
  • Phase_report · 1 file1 kB
  • REPORT.md70bea9a11d821 kB
Events
7,043,088 in 8 streams
Span
1 Jan 2020 → 29 Jul 2026
Source
GitHub events API (OSS canonical spines)
Published
13 Oct 2026
1 modeltrained or exported over it
pooled8_v1 · 13 Oct 2026
02 · Features

Featurization

An Atlas recipe declares how events become model inputs.

2 feature recipes

refs32_july pipeline/featurize/oss/recipes/refs32_july.yaml

Channels
references
Used by
pooled8_v1
1 runtrained over it
03 · Training

Recipes and runs

A Praxis recipe fixes the model, the objective and the split.

16 training recipes
  • pooled_lr1e4_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 128 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 128 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_flat_s9_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_tail20_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_tail20_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_tail40_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled1m_w256_tail40_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · 32-event context · features refs32_july · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_flat_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_flat_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_tail16_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled8_w256_flat_s7_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_tail16_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled8_w256_flat_s8_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_tail8_s7_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled8_w256_flat_s7_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
  • pooled8_w256_tail8_s8_v1 action-conditioned JEPA · Transformer, 2 layers, 256 hidden · 32-event context · features refs32_v1 · heads next action · from pooled8_w256_flat_s8_v1 1 run: 13 Oct 2026
16 runs

pooled1m_w256_tail20_s8_v1 pooled1m_w256_tail20_s8_v1

23 files, 19.49 GB
  • Latent matrices · 2 files14.62 GB
  • latents.npy7.31 GB
  • state_latents.npy7.31 GB
  • Auxiliary · 7 files3.50 GB
  • action_sample_meta.json3.43 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json785 B
  • aux_next_action_head.pt38 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy69.7 MB
  • frontier_acceptance.opencv__opencv.json3 kB
  • progress.jsonl43 kB
  • remote.json174 B
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_ids.json870.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json460.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files34.9 MB
  • action_jepa.pt7.0 MB
  • checkpoint.pt21.0 MB
  • final.pt7.0 MB
  • Configuration · 7 files1.5 MB
  • action_feature_names.json16 kB
  • asof_config.json156 kB
  • checkpoint_selections.json734 B
  • model_config.json1 kB
  • praxis_execution.json966 kB
  • praxis.json383 kB
  • run_manifest.json11 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file10 kB
  • metrics.json10 kB
  • Split · 1 file574 B
  • split.json574 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
parent pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
19.49 GB23 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1 pooled1m_w256_flat_s8_v1

1 file, 174 B
  • Auxiliary · 1 file174 B
  • remote.json174 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
174 B1 artifact
Ask this model ↓

pooled1m_w256_flat_s9_v1 pooled1m_w256_flat_s9_v1

35 files, 21.20 GB
  • Latent matrices · 2 files16.23 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npy8.92 GB
  • latents.npy7.31 GB
  • Auxiliary · 19 files3.59 GB
  • action_sample_meta.json3.43 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json785 B
  • aux_next_action_head.pt38 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy69.7 MB
  • progress.jsonl282 kB
  • remote.json175 B
  • selected_epoch_0028.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0029.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0030.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0031.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0032.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0033.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0034.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0035.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0036.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0037.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0038.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0039.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0040.pt7.0 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_ids.json870.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json460.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files34.9 MB
  • action_jepa.pt7.0 MB
  • checkpoint.pt21.0 MB
  • final.pt7.0 MB
  • Configuration · 7 files1.5 MB
  • action_feature_names.json16 kB
  • asof_config.json156 kB
  • checkpoint_selections.json765 B
  • model_config.json1 kB
  • praxis_execution.json965 kB
  • praxis.json383 kB
  • run_manifest.json11 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file11 kB
  • metrics.json11 kB
  • Split · 1 file574 B
  • split.json574 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
21.20 GB35 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1 pooled1m_w256_flat_s7_v1

62 files, 21.38 GB
  • Latent matrices · 2 files16.23 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy8.92 GB
  • state_latents.npy7.31 GB
  • Auxiliary · 46 files3.78 GB
  • action_sample_meta.json3.43 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json785 B
  • aux_next_action_head.pt38 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy69.7 MB
  • progress.jsonl267 kB
  • remote.json174 B
  • selected_epoch_0001.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0002.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0003.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0004.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0005.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0006.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0007.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0008.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0009.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0010.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0011.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0012.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0013.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0014.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0015.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0016.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0017.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0018.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0019.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0020.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0021.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0022.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0023.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0024.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0025.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0026.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0027.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0028.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0029.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0030.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0031.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0032.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0033.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0034.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0035.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0036.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0037.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0038.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0039.pt7.0 MB
  • selected_epoch_0040.pt7.0 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_ids.json870.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json460.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files34.9 MB
  • action_jepa.pt7.0 MB
  • checkpoint.pt21.0 MB
  • final.pt7.0 MB
  • Configuration · 7 files1.5 MB
  • action_feature_names.json16 kB
  • asof_config.json156 kB
  • checkpoint_selections.json765 B
  • model_config.json1 kB
  • praxis_execution.json965 kB
  • praxis.json383 kB
  • run_manifest.json11 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file11 kB
  • metrics.json11 kB
  • Split · 1 file574 B
  • split.json574 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
21.38 GB62 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

pooled_lr1e4_v1 pooled_lr1e4_v1

40 files, 13.80 GB
  • Latent matrices · 2 files8.92 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npy4.46 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy4.46 GB
  • Auxiliary · 25 files3.52 GB
  • action_sample_meta.json3.43 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json785 B
  • aux_next_action_head.pt20 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy69.7 MB
  • consequence_targets.apache__airflow.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.bitcoin__bitcoin.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.NixOS__nixpkgs.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.opencv__opencv.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.tryghost__ghost.json5 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.apache__airflow.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.bitcoin__bitcoin.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.kubernetes__kubernetes.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.NixOS__nixpkgs.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.nodejs__node.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.opencv__opencv.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.rust-lang__rust.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.tryghost__ghost.json3 kB
  • progress.jsonl421 kB
  • remote.json175 B
  • selected_epoch_0017.pt5.4 MB
  • selected_epoch_0019.pt5.4 MB
  • selected_epoch_0020.pt5.4 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_ids.json870.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json460.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files27.2 MB
  • action_jepa.pt5.4 MB
  • checkpoint.pt16.4 MB
  • final.pt5.4 MB
  • Configuration · 6 files2.0 MB
  • action_feature_names.json16 kB
  • asof_config.json575 kB
  • checkpoint_selections.json738 B
  • praxis_execution.json965 kB
  • praxis.json383 kB
  • run_manifest.json11 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file8 kB
  • metrics.json8 kB
  • Split · 1 file574 B
  • split.json574 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
13.80 GB40 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

pooled_v1 pooled_v1

43 files, 25.57 GB
  • Latent matrices · 5 files20.70 GB
  • action_next_state_latents.npy4.46 GB
  • action_state_latents.npy4.46 GB
  • action_transition_latents.npy4.46 GB
  • latents.npy3.66 GB
  • state_latents.npy3.66 GB
  • Auxiliary · 25 files3.52 GB
  • action_sample_meta.json3.43 GB
  • aux_next_action_classes.json785 B
  • aux_next_action_head.pt20 kB
  • aux_next_action_labels.npy69.7 MB
  • consequence_targets.apache__airflow.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.bitcoin__bitcoin.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.NixOS__nixpkgs.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.opencv__opencv.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.tryghost__ghost.json5 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.apache__airflow.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.bitcoin__bitcoin.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.kubernetes__kubernetes.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.NixOS__nixpkgs.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.nodejs__node.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.opencv__opencv.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.rust-lang__rust.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.tryghost__ghost.json3 kB
  • progress.jsonl382 kB
  • remote.json175 B
  • selected_epoch_0003.pt5.4 MB
  • selected_epoch_0004.pt5.4 MB
  • selected_epoch_0020.pt5.4 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files1.33 GB
  • action_sample_ids.json870.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json460.3 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files27.2 MB
  • action_jepa.pt5.4 MB
  • checkpoint.pt16.4 MB
  • final.pt5.4 MB
  • Configuration · 6 files2.0 MB
  • action_feature_names.json16 kB
  • asof_config.json575 kB
  • checkpoint_selections.json734 B
  • praxis_execution.json965 kB
  • praxis.json383 kB
  • run_manifest.json11 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file8 kB
  • metrics.json8 kB
  • Split · 1 file574 B
  • split.json574 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-08-25
Origin
not recorded
Published
13 Oct 2026
25.57 GB43 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

pooled8_v1 pooled_rust_node_kubernetes_nixpkgs_airflow_bitcoin_ghost_opencv__action_jepa__drivers_v3__ctx32__modal-pooled8-reffeat32k-anchor__20260729-101817

57 files, 4.09 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file3.61 GB
  • latents.npy3.61 GB
  • Sample and event ids · 1 file454.1 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json454.1 MB
  • Checkpoints · 3 files26.9 MB
  • action_jepa.pt5.4 MB
  • checkpoint.pt16.2 MB
  • final.pt5.4 MB
  • Configuration · 5 files932 kB
  • action_feature_names.json15 kB
  • asof_config.json567 kB
  • praxis_import.json204 B
  • praxis_paths.json1 kB
  • praxis.json348 kB
  • Auxiliary · 45 files379 kB
  • action_information_gain.json5 kB
  • aux_next_action_head.pt20 kB
  • consequence_targets.apache__airflow.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.apache__airflow.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.bitcoin__bitcoin.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.bitcoin__bitcoin.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.cum.gbdt.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.cum.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.kubernetes__kubernetes.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.NixOS__nixpkgs.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.NixOS__nixpkgs.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.cum.gbdt.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.cum.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.nodejs__node.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.opencv__opencv.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.opencv__opencv.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.cum.gbdt.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.cum.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.rust-lang__rust.json5 kB
  • consequence_targets.tryghost__ghost.gbdt.json4 kB
  • consequence_targets.tryghost__ghost.json5 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.apache__airflow.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.bitcoin__bitcoin.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.kubernetes__kubernetes.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.NixOS__nixpkgs.json3 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.nodejs__node.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.opencv__opencv.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.rust-lang__rust.json4 kB
  • frontier_acceptance.tryghost__ghost.json4 kB
  • progress.jsonl187 kB
  • remote.json148 B
  • rollout_skill.json15 kB
  • state_surprise.json2 kB
  • summoning_probe.apache__airflow.json993 B
  • summoning_probe.bitcoin__bitcoin.json984 B
  • summoning_probe.kubernetes__kubernetes.json994 B
  • summoning_probe.NixOS__nixpkgs.json988 B
  • summoning_probe.nodejs__node.json1 kB
  • summoning_probe.opencv__opencv.json714 B
  • summoning_probe.rust-lang__rust.json978 B
  • summoning_probe.tryghost__ghost.json979 B
  • Metrics · 1 file5 kB
  • metrics.json5 kB
  • Split · 1 file698 B
  • split.json698 B
Status
imported
Trained on
pooled8 @ asof-2026-07-29
Origin
manifest inferred from the directory
Published
13 Oct 2026
4.09 GB57 artifacts
Ask this model ↓
04 · Evaluation

How it compares to other methods

uses the world modelother methodcoin flip / no relationship

AUC is the chance a method ranks a case that happened above one that didn't: 0.5 is a coin flip, 1.0 is perfect.

Spearman ρ is the rank correlation between predicted and measured values: 0 is no relationship, 1.0 is the same order.

apache/airflow: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks apache/airflow's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts (trees)0.749
World model + facts0.749
World model0.718
World model (trees)0.705
Facts (trees)0.745
Facts (linear)0.737
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model0.621
World model + facts0.621
World model (trees)0.612
World model + facts (trees)0.608
Facts (trees)0.610
Facts (linear)0.610
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model + facts0.839
World model0.832
World model + facts (trees)0.816
World model (trees)0.808
Facts (trees)0.716
Facts (linear)0.706
Clock (trees)0.657
Clock0.459
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts0.844
World model0.838
World model + facts (trees)0.826
World model (trees)0.815
Facts (trees)0.720
Facts (linear)0.709
Clock (trees)0.640
Clock0.463
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts0.853
World model0.846
World model + facts (trees)0.828
World model (trees)0.820
Facts (trees)0.721
Facts (linear)0.712
Clock (trees)0.626
Clock0.468
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts0.859
World model0.853
World model + facts (trees)0.834
World model (trees)0.822
Facts (trees)0.722
Facts (linear)0.719
Clock (trees)0.614
Clock0.476
0.450.550.650.750.85

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts0.708
World model0.701
World model + facts (trees)0.693
World model (trees)0.630
Facts (trees)0.650
Facts (linear)0.603
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.647
World model0.644
World model + facts (trees)0.610
World model (trees)0.603
Facts (trees)0.370
Facts (linear)0.292
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70

bitcoin/bitcoin: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks bitcoin/bitcoin's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts (trees)0.781
World model + facts0.769
World model0.749
World model (trees)0.725
Facts (linear)0.766
Facts (trees)0.766
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts (trees)0.627
World model + facts0.615
World model (trees)0.611
World model0.607
Facts (trees)0.610
Facts (linear)0.596
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model0.857
World model + facts0.857
World model + facts (trees)0.843
World model (trees)0.834
Facts (trees)0.784
Facts (linear)0.783
Clock (trees)0.607
Clock0.485
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts0.855
World model0.853
World model + facts (trees)0.850
World model (trees)0.837
Facts (trees)0.785
Facts (linear)0.781
Clock (trees)0.572
Clock0.490
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts0.860
World model0.858
World model + facts (trees)0.853
World model (trees)0.841
Facts (trees)0.792
Facts (linear)0.787
Clock (trees)0.545
Clock0.515
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts0.866
World model0.865
World model + facts (trees)0.862
World model (trees)0.855
Facts (trees)0.808
Facts (linear)0.804
Clock0.554
Clock (trees)0.514
0.450.550.650.750.85

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts (trees)0.759
World model + facts0.728
World model0.726
World model (trees)0.700
Facts (trees)0.671
Facts (linear)0.471
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.80

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.688
World model0.685
World model + facts (trees)0.646
World model (trees)0.632
Facts (linear)0.551
Facts (trees)0.528
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.80

tryghost/ghost: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks tryghost/ghost's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model0.814
World model + facts0.760
World model + facts (trees)0.751
World model (trees)0.749
Facts (trees)0.758
Facts (linear)0.734
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts (trees)0.536
World model0.511
World model (trees)0.488
World model + facts0.472
Facts (trees)0.524
Facts (linear)0.465
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model0.718
World model + facts (trees)0.715
World model + facts0.706
World model (trees)0.695
Facts (trees)0.619
Facts (linear)0.602
Clock0.539
Clock (trees)0.530
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.734
World model (trees)0.724
World model0.724
World model + facts0.720
Facts (trees)0.654
Facts (linear)0.615
Clock (trees)0.541
Clock0.540
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.749
World model0.741
World model + facts0.739
World model (trees)0.716
Facts (trees)0.666
Facts (linear)0.634
Clock0.540
Clock (trees)0.535
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts0.780
World model + facts (trees)0.767
World model0.766
World model (trees)0.747
Facts (trees)0.691
Facts (linear)0.677
Clock0.559
Clock (trees)0.522
0.450.550.650.750.85

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model0.650
World model + facts0.642
World model + facts (trees)0.636
World model (trees)0.610
Facts (linear)0.463
Facts (trees)0.461
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model0.489
World model + facts0.467
World model + facts (trees)0.437
World model (trees)0.404
Facts (trees)0.313
Facts (linear)0.271
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

kubernetes/kubernetes: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks kubernetes/kubernetes's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts0.737
World model + facts (trees)0.732
World model0.689
World model (trees)0.679
Facts (trees)0.738
Facts (linear)0.732
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts (trees)0.633
World model + facts0.622
World model (trees)0.579
World model0.578
Facts (trees)0.637
Facts (linear)0.633
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model + facts (trees)0.766
World model + facts0.740
World model (trees)0.714
World model0.701
Facts (trees)0.764
Facts (linear)0.621
Clock (trees)0.602
Clock0.391
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.789
World model + facts0.750
World model (trees)0.726
World model0.707
Facts (trees)0.771
Facts (linear)0.644
Clock (trees)0.579
Clock0.417
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.807
World model + facts0.778
World model (trees)0.752
World model0.740
Facts (trees)0.798
Facts (linear)0.680
Clock (trees)0.562
Clock0.451
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts (trees)0.880
World model + facts0.860
World model (trees)0.840
World model0.836
Facts (trees)0.862
Facts (linear)0.784
Clock (trees)0.551
Clock0.504
0.350.450.550.650.750.85

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts0.767
World model + facts (trees)0.761
World model0.760
World model (trees)0.706
Facts (trees)0.685
Facts (linear)0.660
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.80

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.531
World model0.514
World model + facts (trees)0.507
World model (trees)0.466
Facts (trees)0.456
Facts (linear)0.381
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.80

NixOS/nixpkgs: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks NixOS/nixpkgs's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts0.629
World model + facts (trees)0.625
World model0.617
World model (trees)0.584
Facts (trees)0.626
Facts (linear)0.618
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts (trees)0.693
World model (trees)0.669
World model + facts0.638
World model0.635
Facts (trees)0.683
Facts (linear)0.595
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model (trees)0.811
World model + facts (trees)0.810
World model + facts0.805
World model0.800
Facts (trees)0.713
Facts (linear)0.696
Clock (trees)0.672
Clock0.498
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.812
World model (trees)0.811
World model + facts0.805
World model0.798
Facts (trees)0.706
Facts (linear)0.692
Clock (trees)0.665
Clock0.513
0.450.550.650.750.85

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts (trees)0.808
World model (trees)0.807
World model + facts0.803
World model0.795
Facts (trees)0.697
Facts (linear)0.686
Clock (trees)0.650
Clock0.519
0.450.550.650.750.85

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts (trees)0.559
World model (trees)0.558
World model + facts0.555
World model0.553
Facts (trees)0.509
Facts (linear)0.469
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.552
World model0.544
World model (trees)0.532
World model + facts (trees)0.525
Facts (trees)0.313
Facts (linear)0.277
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

nodejs/node: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks nodejs/node's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts (trees)0.753
World model + facts0.748
World model0.721
World model (trees)0.707
Facts (linear)0.749
Facts (trees)0.748
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts0.756
World model + facts (trees)0.745
World model0.744
World model (trees)0.712
Facts (linear)0.757
Facts (trees)0.754
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model + facts0.788
World model0.786
World model + facts (trees)0.763
World model (trees)0.758
Facts (trees)0.659
Facts (linear)0.654
Clock (trees)0.580
Clock0.507
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts0.805
World model0.799
World model + facts (trees)0.791
World model (trees)0.781
Facts (trees)0.651
Facts (linear)0.647
Clock (trees)0.548
Clock0.521
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts0.821
World model0.812
World model + facts (trees)0.805
World model (trees)0.793
Facts (trees)0.656
Facts (linear)0.653
Clock0.533
Clock (trees)0.520
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts0.830
World model0.821
World model + facts (trees)0.810
World model (trees)0.802
Facts (linear)0.651
Facts (trees)0.640
Clock0.550
Clock (trees)0.528
0.500.600.700.80

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts (trees)0.570
World model + facts0.568
World model0.530
World model (trees)0.501
Facts (trees)0.538
Facts (linear)0.522
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model0.456
World model + facts (trees)0.453
World model (trees)0.450
World model + facts0.435
Facts (trees)0.353
Facts (linear)0.317
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.60

opencv/opencv: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks opencv/opencv's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model (trees)0.685
World model0.681
World model + facts (trees)0.670
World model + facts0.643
Facts (trees)0.641
Facts (linear)0.605
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts (trees)0.667
World model (trees)0.640
World model + facts0.630
World model0.615
Facts (linear)0.644
Facts (trees)0.633
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model + facts0.802
World model0.780
World model + facts (trees)0.769
World model (trees)0.750
Facts (linear)0.739
Facts (trees)0.734
Clock (trees)0.544
Clock0.530
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts0.790
World model + facts (trees)0.775
World model0.773
World model (trees)0.750
Facts (linear)0.734
Facts (trees)0.713
Clock (trees)0.531
Clock0.512
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts0.795
World model0.787
World model + facts (trees)0.776
World model (trees)0.753
Facts (linear)0.730
Facts (trees)0.712
Clock (trees)0.521
Clock0.508
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model0.833
World model + facts0.818
World model + facts (trees)0.792
World model (trees)0.757
Facts (linear)0.750
Facts (trees)0.733
Clock (trees)0.546
Clock0.524
0.500.600.700.80

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model0.694
World model + facts0.694
World model + facts (trees)0.614
World model (trees)0.582
Facts (linear)0.519
Facts (trees)0.465
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.546
World model0.542
World model + facts (trees)0.494
World model (trees)0.478
Facts (linear)0.362
Facts (trees)0.326
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70

rust-lang/rust: pull requests and contributors (pooled8)

How well the pooled8 world model ranks rust-lang/rust's pull requests and contributors on what happens next, beside the same facts under a linear head and under gradient-boosted trees.

Contributors likely to return within 90 days

within 90 days
World model + facts0.710
World model + facts (trees)0.708
World model0.677
World model (trees)0.647
Facts (linear)0.712
Facts (trees)0.710
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to get a maintainer's response within 3 days

within 3 days
World model + facts0.787
World model + facts (trees)0.780
World model (trees)0.774
World model0.769
Facts (trees)0.782
Facts (linear)0.777
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within a week
World model0.748
World model + facts0.746
World model + facts (trees)0.742
World model (trees)0.733
Facts (trees)0.683
Facts (linear)0.658
Clock (trees)0.625
Clock0.509
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within two weeks
World model + facts0.759
World model0.758
World model + facts (trees)0.754
World model (trees)0.747
Facts (trees)0.685
Facts (linear)0.664
Clock (trees)0.605
Clock0.531
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within four weeks
World model + facts0.777
World model + facts (trees)0.773
World model0.771
World model (trees)0.758
Facts (trees)0.696
Facts (linear)0.671
Clock (trees)0.596
Clock0.552
0.500.600.700.80

Pull requests likely to merge

within three months
World model + facts0.816
World model + facts (trees)0.816
World model0.811
World model (trees)0.798
Facts (trees)0.714
Facts (linear)0.693
Clock (trees)0.611
Clock0.608
0.500.600.700.80

How many reviews a pull request still needs

World model + facts0.724
World model0.722
World model + facts (trees)0.706
World model (trees)0.658
Facts (trees)0.648
Facts (linear)0.640
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70

How long a pull request takes to resolve

World model + facts0.510
World model0.500
World model + facts (trees)0.497
World model (trees)0.474
Facts (trees)0.346
Facts (linear)0.276
0.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.70
How they are graded: 8 eval configs

pooled8_outcomes_airflow eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_airflow.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_ghost eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_ghost.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
48 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_node eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_node.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_opencv eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_opencv.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1

pooled8_outcomes_rust eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/oss/recipes/migrated/pooled8_outcomes_rust.yaml

Targets
merge_within_h
maintainer_response
contributor_churn
time_to_resolve
reviews_remaining
Arms
both, both_gbdt, clock, clock_gbdt, facts, facts_gbdt, latent, latent_gbdt
56 cellsover 1 run
pooled8_v1
All 440 cells, with their numbers and provenance
EvaluationRunTargetArm · headSplitNumbers
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.737
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.745
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.718
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.705
n_test 3,871
n_train 9,677
base_rate_test 0.326
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.621
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.608
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.61
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.61
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.621
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.612
n_test 13,034
n_train 29,239
base_rate_test 0.332
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.839
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.816
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.459
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.657
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.706
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.716
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.832
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.808
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.646
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.844
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.826
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.463
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.64
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.709
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.72
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.838
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.815
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.693
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.853
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.828
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.468
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.626
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.712
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.721
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.846
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.82
n_test 12,981
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.726
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.859
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.834
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.476
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.614
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.719
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.722
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.853
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.822
n_test 10,526
n_train 29,198
base_rate_test 0.774
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.478
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.708
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.485
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.693
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.537
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.603
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.517
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.65
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.486
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.701
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.535
n_test 8,787
n_train 24,400
spearman 0.63
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.21
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.647
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.252
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.61
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.55
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.292
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.503
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.37
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.22
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.644
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_airflow pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.262
n_test 9,598
n_train 23,835
spearman 0.603
mae_train_mean 1.682
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.769
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.781
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.767
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.766
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.725
n_test 1,443
n_train 3,609
base_rate_test 0.408
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.615
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.627
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.596
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.61
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.607
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.611
n_test 3,509
n_train 9,002
base_rate_test 0.593
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.857
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.843
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.485
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.607
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.783
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.785
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.857
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.834
n_test 3,440
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.302
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.855
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.85
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.491
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.572
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.781
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.785
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.853
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.837
n_test 3,406
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.372
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.86
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.853
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.516
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.545
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.787
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.792
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.858
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.841
n_test 3,317
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.866
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.862
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.554
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.514
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.804
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.809
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.865
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.855
n_test 2,945
n_train 8,853
base_rate_test 0.545
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.497
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.728
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.457
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.759
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.637
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.471
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.56
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.671
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.503
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.726
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.531
n_test 2,029
n_train 6,263
spearman 0.7
mae_train_mean 0.769
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.233
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.688
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.292
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.646
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.424
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.551
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.429
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.528
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.239
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.685
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_bitcoin pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-10-15 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.316
n_test 2,027
n_train 6,132
spearman 0.632
mae_train_mean 1.721
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.76
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.751
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.734
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.758
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.814
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 350
n_train 876
base_rate_test 0.437
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.473
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.536
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.465
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.524
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.511
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.488
n_test 3,485
n_train 12,530
base_rate_test 0.054
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.706
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.715
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.539
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.53
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.602
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.619
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.718
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.695
n_test 3,394
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.72
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.734
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.54
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.541
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.615
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.654
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.724
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.724
n_test 3,228
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.765
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.739
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.54
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.535
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.634
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.666
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.741
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.716
n_test 2,905
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.78
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.78
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.767
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.559
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.523
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.677
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.691
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.766
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.747
n_test 1,658
n_train 11,027
base_rate_test 0.755
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.553
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.642
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.545
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.637
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.657
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.463
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.634
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.461
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.572
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.65
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.578
n_test 1,648
n_train 3,086
spearman 0.61
mae_train_mean 0.748
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.465
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.467
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.432
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.437
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.549
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.271
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.46
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.313
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.44
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.49
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_ghost pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-12-11 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.474
n_test 2,392
n_train 5,472
spearman 0.404
mae_train_mean 1.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.737
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.732
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.732
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.738
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.689
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.679
n_test 5,130
n_train 12,826
base_rate_test 0.409
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.622
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.633
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.633
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.637
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.578
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.579
n_test 10,975
n_train 25,526
base_rate_test 0.555
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.74
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.766
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.391
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.602
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.621
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.764
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.701
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.714
n_test 10,915
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.349
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.75
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.79
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.417
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.579
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.644
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.771
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.707
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.726
n_test 10,745
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.422
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.778
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.807
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.451
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.562
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.68
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.798
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.74
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.752
n_test 10,527
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.504
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.86
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.881
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.504
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.551
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.784
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.862
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.836
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.84
n_test 9,553
n_train 25,531
base_rate_test 0.607
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.437
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.767
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.442
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.762
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.513
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.66
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.5
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.685
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.437
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.76
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.466
n_test 6,889
n_train 17,060
spearman 0.706
mae_train_mean 0.694
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.536
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.531
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.561
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.507
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.725
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.381
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.598
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.456
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.574
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.514
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_kubernetes pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-04-18 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.62
n_test 6,820
n_train 17,135
spearman 0.466
mae_train_mean 1.804
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.629
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.625
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.618
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.626
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.617
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.584
n_test 7,365
n_train 18,412
base_rate_test 0.377
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.638
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.693
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.595
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.683
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.635
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.669
n_test 20,815
n_train 39,180
base_rate_test 0.331
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.805
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.81
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.498
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.672
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.696
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.713
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.8
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.811
n_test 20,599
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.664
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.805
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.812
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.513
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.665
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.692
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.706
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.798
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.811
n_test 18,470
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.727
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.803
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.808
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.519
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.65
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.687
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.697
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.795
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.807
n_test 13,753
n_train 39,073
base_rate_test 0.762
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.243
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.555
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.242
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.559
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.281
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.469
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.273
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.509
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.249
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.553
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.246
n_test 10,599
n_train 21,652
spearman 0.559
mae_train_mean 0.425
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.232
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.552
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.25
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.525
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.455
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.277
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.432
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.313
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.244
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.545
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_nixpkgs pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2026-04-23 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.248
n_test 15,827
n_train 32,660
spearman 0.532
mae_train_mean 1.537
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.748
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.753
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.749
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.748
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.721
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.707
n_test 2,710
n_train 6,776
base_rate_test 0.357
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.756
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.745
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.757
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.754
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.744
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.712
n_test 6,481
n_train 14,793
base_rate_test 0.797
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.788
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.763
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.507
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.58
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.654
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.659
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.786
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.758
n_test 6,379
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.417
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.805
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.791
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.521
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.548
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.647
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.651
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.799
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.781
n_test 6,275
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.507
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.821
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.805
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.533
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.52
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.653
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.657
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.812
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.793
n_test 6,118
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.556
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.83
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.81
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.55
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.528
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.652
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.641
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.821
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.802
n_test 5,236
n_train 14,709
base_rate_test 0.608
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.444
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.568
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.446
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.57
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.463
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.522
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.461
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.538
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.46
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.53
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.467
n_test 3,872
n_train 6,607
spearman 0.501
mae_train_mean 0.558
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.948
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.435
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.843
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.453
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.989
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.317
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.874
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.353
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.875
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.456
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_node pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2024-09-05 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.852
n_test 3,859
n_train 6,639
spearman 0.45
mae_train_mean 0.917
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.643
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.67
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.605
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.641
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.681
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.685
n_test 474
n_train 1,186
base_rate_test 0.268
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.631
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.667
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.644
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.633
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.615
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.64
n_test 1,320
n_train 2,159
base_rate_test 0.625
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.802
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.769
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.53
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.544
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.739
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.734
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.78
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.75
n_test 963
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.442
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.79
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.776
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.512
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.532
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.734
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.713
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.773
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.75
n_test 923
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.511
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.795
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.776
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.508
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.521
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.73
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.712
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.787
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.753
n_test 815
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.564
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.818
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.792
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.525
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.546
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.75
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.733
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.833
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.757
n_test 627
n_train 1,785
base_rate_test 0.609
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.469
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.694
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.526
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.614
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.606
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.519
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.625
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.465
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.46
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.694
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.515
n_test 674
n_train 1,621
spearman 0.582
mae_train_mean 0.698
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.414
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.546
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.464
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.494
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.624
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.363
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.627
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.326
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.418
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.542
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_opencv pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-07-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.513
n_test 433
n_train 993
spearman 0.478
mae_train_mean 1.761
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.71
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.708
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.712
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.71
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.677
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 contributor_churn 90d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.647
n_test 3,123
n_train 7,809
base_rate_test 0.382
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.787
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.781
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.778
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.782
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.77
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 maintainer_response 3d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.774
n_test 9,212
n_train 21,302
base_rate_test 0.844
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.746
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.742
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.509
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.625
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.658
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.684
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.748
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 7d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.733
n_test 9,063
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.492
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.759
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.754
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.531
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.605
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.664
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.686
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.758
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 14d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.747
n_test 8,842
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.574
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.777
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.773
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.552
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.596
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.671
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.696
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.771
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 28d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.758
n_test 8,379
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.634
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.816
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.816
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.608
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d clock_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.611
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.693
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.714
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.811
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 merge_within_h 91d latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) auc 0.798
n_test 6,398
n_train 22,016
base_rate_test 0.701
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.517
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.724
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.524
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.706
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.57
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.64
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.573
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.648
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.52
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.722
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 reviews_remaining latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 0.573
n_test 3,776
n_train 9,618
spearman 0.658
mae_train_mean 0.812
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.05
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.51
mae_train_mean 1.262
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve both_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.043
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.497
mae_train_mean 1.262
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.192
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.276
mae_train_mean 1.262
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve facts_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.141
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.346
mae_train_mean 1.262
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.056
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.5
mae_train_mean 1.262
pooled8_outcomes_rust pooled8_v1 time_to_resolve latent_gbdt pull requests born before 2025-08-02 fit, after it test (the stream's 0.7 time quantile) mae 1.065
n_test 6,411
n_train 17,022
spearman 0.474
mae_train_mean 1.262
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