Strange LabSign in
US motor carriers: crash and insurance-cancellation risk

trucking_2005

70,921,343events in the training captures
5models serving questions
2005 → 2026span of the captures
238results
trucking · trucking_2005 · World model · public
01 · Data

Dataset versions

A dataset version is a capture of the source as of a date: its event spine and the files training reads.

2 dataset versions

trucking_2005 trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-14

Spine v2: v1 plus crash detail, policy identity and layering, disposition decided dates, and the census's latest safety rating at its date (survivorship caveat); raw files published with trucking@asof-2026-10-12, not here; see REPORT.md

llm_report · REPORT.md

trucking_2005@asof-2026-10-14 — data stage report

Inputs, by identity. The same inputs as trucking_2005@asof-2026-10-13: the FMCSA downloads of 2026-10-06 (raw files published with trucking@asof-2026-10-12, not here), the 23 Wayback census captures and the 95 Wayback SMS score files. Built by the spine at commit 77f9e2e9 (branch trucking/basis-2-1).

Output, by identity. canonical_events.jsonl: 35,578,329 events, window 2005-01-01 to 2026-04-30, every source row reconciled (spine_receipt.json). These are the v1 events plus 235,315 safety-rating events; every other verb count is unchanged. Resources (census ladder, census links, SMS ladder) are copied unchanged from the 2026-10-13 version.

What is new. Fields the v1 spine dropped:

  • Crashes: reporting state, federal and state recordable, hazmat

released, the carrier-interstate flag (Y/N/X, where X is a non-motor carrier), weather, light, road surface, vehicle configuration, cargo body and GVW class.

  • Insurance: the policy number (alphanumerics, upper-cased, so a

renewal keeps it), the underlying limit, the minimum coverage and the cancellation form.

  • Authority dispositions: the decided date.
  • Safety rating: safety_rated at the rating's date (90,388), and

safety_rating_on_file at the window start for ratings given before 2005 (144,927). Both carry rating_date.

Fill rates are 98–99% for the crash fields, except GVW in 2005–2007 (76–91%, against 99.9% from 2008). The policy number is filled for 99.99% of filings.

Caveat: safety-rating survivorship. The census keeps only the latest rating of each carrier still in it. A rating that a later one replaced, or the rating of a carrier that left the census, is not here. So a rating on a row also says that no newer rating was given before the census, a weak hindsight. It is kept by decision (2026-10-14), and basis 2.1 reads it as state from its own date.

Caveat: decided dates. A disposition's decided and served dates differ for about a quarter of the 2000s' dispositions, and for 0.1–0.2% of those since 2010: a recording change, not carrier behaviour. Basis 2.1 does not read the lag between them.

Drift. The ingest-time era flags match the 2026-10-13 version exactly: registered spikes 2011-11, 2015-04 and 2015-06, the oos_rescinded spike in 2005-07, and the revocation_notice dropout in 2022-08. The split at 2024-01 has verb-mix TVD 0.059 without inspections and the on-file seeds (drift_split_2024-01_noinsp.json; the fusion basis does not read inspections). TVD is 0.570 with inspections, since that file starts 2023-10 (drift_split_2024-01.json).

What the next stage needs to know. Recipes name pipeline/ingest/data/trucking_2005 as their stream; launches bind this version with --dataset trucking_2005@asof-2026-10-14. Basis 2.1 (carrier_fusion_v2) needs this version, not the 2026-10-13 one.

Receipts (3)
drift_split_2024-01_noinsp.json
{
 "boundary": "2024-01",
 "excluded": [
  "authority_on_file",
  "inspection",
  "insurance_on_file",
  "safety_rating_on_file"
 ],
 "report": "boundary='2024-01' n_before=23511623 n_after=4422478 tvd=0.0593591369337304 tvd_with_structural=0.5704081181885482 excluded_types=['authority_on_file', 'inspection', 'insurance_on_file', 'safety_rating_on_file'] movers=[Mover(verb='registered', share_before=0.12096872257606377, share_after=0.09083029921234204, ratio=0.7508577198972153), Mover(verb='crash', share_before=0.09980361627948867, share_after=0.0758258153008336, ratio=0.7597501786758111), Mover(verb='insurance_replaced', share_before=0.06717047989413577, share_after=0.08984284376315721, ratio=1.337534641776481), Mover(verb='insurance_cancelled', share_before=0.13541787395961563, share_after=0.14489682028943954, ratio=1.0699977488396453), Mover(verb='authority_disposition', share_before=0.11332110080193103, share_after=0.1222893590426001, ratio=1.0791402322886388), Mover(verb='revocation_effective', share_before=0.03802591594803983, share_after=0.0438007831808321, ratio=1.1518666175111545), Mover(verb='revocation_notice', share_before=0.04014469779478856, share_after=0.0446536986730064, ratio=1.1123187151953895), Mover(verb='insurance_effective', share_before=0.21908189834449115, share_after=0.2231079498869186, ratio=1.018376924669955), Mover(verb='oos_order', share_before=0.012975794992970073, share_after=0.015688037340151832, ratio=1.2090232119612847), Mover(verb='insurance_name_changed', share_before=0.00535475581587881, share_after=0.0028581261455681633, ratio=0.533754711483346)]"
}
drift_split_2024-01.json
{
  "era": {
    "n_periods": 256,
    "n_events": 35578329,
    "structural_types": [
      "authority_on_file",
      "insurance_on_file",
      "safety_rating_on_file"
    ],
    "verb_flags": [
      {
        "period": "2005-07",
        "verb": "oos_rescinded",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 5426,
        "trailing_median": 364.5,
        "ratio": 14.886145404663923
      },
      {
        "period": "2015-06",
        "verb": "registered",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 110860,
        "trailing_median": 8724.5,
        "ratio": 12.706745372227635
      },
      {
        "period": "2011-11",
        "verb": "registered",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 45868,
        "trailing_median": 9845.0,
        "ratio": 4.659014728288471
      },
      {
        "period": "2015-04",
        "verb": "registered",
        "kind": "spike",
        "count": 35940,
        "trailing_median": 8212.5,
        "ratio": 4.3762557077625575
      },
      {
        "period": "2005-07",
        "verb": "insurance_transferred",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 5,
        "trailing_median": 24.0,
        "ratio": 0.20833333333333334
      },
      {
        "period": "2022-08",
        "verb": "revocation_notice",
        "kind": "dropout",
        "count": 1557,
        "trailing_median": 7449.0,
        "ratio": 0.2090213451469996
      }
    ],
    "volume_flags": [
      {
        "period": "2013-10",
        "n_events": 122066.0,
        "trailing_median": 80898.0,
        "ratio": 1.5088877351726866
      },
      {
        "period": "2015-06",
        "n_events": 195401.0,
        "trailing_median": 87482.0,
        "ratio": 2.2336137719759495
      },
      {
        "period": "2023-10",
        "n_events": 354763.0,
        "trailing_median": 168006.5,
        "ratio": 2.1116028248907037
      },
      {
        "period": "2023-11",
        "n_events": 357072.0,
        "trailing_median": 170364.5,
        "ratio": 2.09592960974851
      },
      {
        "period": "2023-12",
        "n_events": 336714.0,
        "trailing_median": 170364.5,
        "ratio": 1.9764328836113156
      },
      {
        "period": "2024-01",
        "n_events": 382550.0,
        "trailing_median": 253609.5,
        "ratio": 1.5084214116584749
      }
    ],
    "trailing_periods": 6,
    "spike_ratio": 4.0
  },
  "split": {
    "boundary": "2024-01",
    "n_before": 24076108,
    "n_after": 10872898,
    "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
    "tvd_with_structural": 0.5704081181885482,
    "excluded_types": [
      "authority_on_file",
      "insurance_on_file",
      "safety_rating_on_file"
    ],
    "movers": [
      {
        "verb": "inspection",
        "share_before": 0.023445857611205267,
        "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
        "ratio": 25.303264560836283
      },
      {
        "verb": "insurance_effective",
        "share_before": 0.21394533535071367,
        "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
        "ratio": 0.424162813216552
      },
      {
        "verb": "registered",
        "share_before": 0.11813250713113597,
        "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
        "ratio": 0.3127387464127652
      },
      {
        "verb": "authority_action",
        "share_before": 0.1348981737413705,
        "share_after": 0.055942767052537416,
        "ratio": 0.41470366500136624
      },
      {
        "verb": "insurance_cancelled",
        "share_before": 0.13224288576874635,
        "share_after": 0.058935805339110144,
        "ratio": 0.44566333377034295
      },
      {
        "verb": "crash",
        "share_before": 0.0974636349031164,
        "share_after": 0.03084163945987537,
        "ratio": 0.31644253254594357
      },
      {
        "verb": "authority_disposition",
        "share_before": 0.11066419040818391,
        "share_after": 0.04974037280585176,
        "ratio": 0.4494712573451703
      },
      {
        "verb": "insurance_replaced",
        "share_before": 0.06559561038686153,
        "share_after": 0.036542971340299525,
        "ratio": 0.5570947678477415
      },
      {
        "verb": "revocation_notice",
        "share_before": 0.03920347092644708,
        "share_after": 0.01816259105897986,
        "ratio": 0.4632903829626775
      },
      {
        "verb": "revocation_effective",
        "share_before": 0.037134365737186426,
        "share_after": 0.017815673429475747,
        "ratio": 0.47976242695415416
      }
    ]
  }
}
spine_receipt.json
{
 "window": [
  "2005-01-01",
  "2026-04-30"
 ],
 "built_utc": "2026-10-14T17:05:34+00:00",
 "sources": {
  "company_census": {
   "rows": 4513257,
   "emitted_rows": 3438188,
   "dropped": {
    "registered:after_window": 81040,
    "registered:before_window": 1186351,
    "row_without_events": 1075069,
    "safety_rated:after_window": 1130,
    "safety_rated:no_date": 10
   },
   "verbs": {
    "registered": 3245866,
    "safety_rated": 90388,
    "safety_rating_on_file": 144927
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "crash_file": {
   "rows": 5002222,
   "emitted_rows": 2681883,
   "dropped": {
    "crash:after_window": 45697,
    "crash:before_window": 900561,
    "no_dot": 1374081,
    "row_without_events": 946258
   },
   "verbs": {
    "crash": 2681883
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "vehicle_inspection": {
   "rows": 8305282,
   "emitted_rows": 7014905,
   "dropped": {
    "inspection:after_window": 1290377,
    "row_without_events": 1290377
   },
   "verbs": {
    "inspection": 7014905
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "oos_orders": {
   "rows": 401677,
   "emitted_rows": 380844,
   "dropped": {
    "oos_order:after_window": 14167,
    "oos_order:before_window": 13048,
    "oos_rescinded:after_window": 1691,
    "oos_rescinded:before_window": 3050,
    "row_without_events": 20833
   },
   "verbs": {
    "oos_order": 374462,
    "oos_rescinded": 169642
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_inshist": {
   "rows": 7427776,
   "emitted_rows": 5972770,
   "dropped": {
    "insurance_cancelled:after_window": 16314,
    "insurance_cancelled:before_window": 813310,
    "insurance_cancelled:no_date": 6191,
    "insurance_effective:after_window": 658,
    "insurance_effective:before_window": 1225055,
    "insurance_effective:no_date": 1,
    "insurance_name_changed:after_window": 545,
    "insurance_name_changed:before_window": 27009,
    "insurance_name_changed:no_date": 2,
    "insurance_replaced:after_window": 5610,
    "insurance_replaced:before_window": 382295,
    "insurance_transferred:before_window": 3258,
    "no_dot": 229417,
    "row_without_events": 1225589
   },
   "verbs": {
    "insurance_cancelled": 3824697,
    "insurance_effective": 5716104,
    "insurance_name_changed": 138539,
    "insurance_on_file": 256541,
    "insurance_replaced": 1976615,
    "insurance_transferred": 3974
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_actpendinsur": {
   "rows": 467983,
   "emitted_rows": 444808,
   "dropped": {
    "insurance_effective:after_window": 15320,
    "no_dot": 7855,
    "row_without_events": 15320
   },
   "verbs": {
    "insurance_effective": 421557,
    "insurance_on_file": 23251
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_authhist": {
   "rows": 4941925,
   "emitted_rows": 4065653,
   "dropped": {
    "authority_action:after_window": 5409,
    "authority_action:before_window": 612426,
    "authority_action:no_date": 16381,
    "authority_disposition:after_window": 8923,
    "authority_disposition:before_window": 564013,
    "authority_disposition:no_date": 1772,
    "no_dot": 247022,
    "row_without_events": 629250
   },
   "verbs": {
    "authority_action": 3856083,
    "authority_disposition": 3205185,
    "authority_on_file": 204604
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_revocation": {
   "rows": 1529083,
   "emitted_rows": 1143941,
   "dropped": {
    "no_dot": 69100,
    "revocation_effective:after_window": 2909,
    "revocation_effective:before_window": 149254,
    "revocation_effective:no_date": 220061,
    "revocation_notice:after_window": 25,
    "revocation_notice:before_window": 186892,
    "revocation_notice:no_date": 131719,
    "row_without_events": 316042
   },
   "verbs": {
    "revocation_effective": 1087759,
    "revocation_notice": 1141347
   },
   "reconciled": true
  }
 },
 "events": 35578329,
 "verbs": {
  "authority_action": 3856083,
  "authority_disposition": 3205185,
  "authority_on_file": 204604,
  "crash": 2681883,
  "inspection": 7014905,
  "insurance_cancelled": 3824697,
  "insurance_effective": 6137661,
  "insurance_name_changed": 138539,
  "insurance_on_file": 279792,
  "insurance_replaced": 1976615,
  "insurance_transferred": 3974,
  "oos_order": 374462,
  "oos_rescinded": 169642,
  "registered": 3245866,
  "revocation_effective": 1087759,
  "revocation_notice": 1141347,
  "safety_rated": 90388,
  "safety_rating_on_file": 144927
 }
}
13 files, 14.31 GB
  • Event spine · 1 file13.69 GB
  • canonical_events.jsonl16843f9f216513.69 GB
  • Resource · 3 files618.4 MB
  • wayback_census/census_ladder.parquetaf587c5c50ee313.7 MB
  • wayback_census/census_links.parquet324a7589522445.4 MB
  • wayback_sms/sms_ladder.parquet5e14cdcc3206259.3 MB
  • Receipt · 8 files90 kB
  • drift_split_2024-01_noinsp.json01d2c4f74aca2 kB
  • drift_split_2024-01.jsona21150ccbf494 kB
  • spine_receipt.json08dcecb443554 kB
  • wayback_census/census_ladder_receipt.json4ec2d3f493001 kB
  • wayback_census/census_links_receipt.jsona3e903dbe1cb2 kB
  • wayback_census/manifest.json0e481a8ef4ea12 kB
  • wayback_sms/manifest.jsonb82fae95f61f52 kB
  • wayback_sms/sms_ladder_receipt.jsonca58d2d8d2b812 kB
  • Phase_report · 1 file3 kB
  • REPORT.mdaf2030a1ae883 kB
Events
35,578,329 in 1 stream
Span
1 Jan 2005 → 30 Apr 2026
Source
FMCSA DataHub (datahub.transportation.gov) downloads of 2026-10-06, 23 Wayback SMS census captures 2011-09 to 2025-07, and 95 Wayback SMS score files 2016-03 to 2025-07 fetched 2026-10-12, as of 14 Oct 2026
Published
14 Oct 2026
3 modelstrained or exported over it
carrier_s20_insurer_only_v2 · 14 Oct 2026carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 · 14 Oct 2026carrier_s20_fusion_v2 · 15 Oct 2026

trucking_2005 trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-13

Claimed-date spine, window 2005-01-01 to 2026-04-30, on-file seeds for insurance and authority at the window start; raw files published with trucking@asof-2026-10-12, not here; adds census_links.parquet; see REPORT.md

llm_report · REPORT.md

trucking_2005@asof-2026-10-13 — data stage report

Inputs, by identity. The same FMCSA downloads as trucking@asof-2026-10-12 (fetched 2026-10-06; raw files published there, not here), the 23 Wayback census captures and the 95 Wayback SMS score files.

Output, by identity. canonical_events.jsonl: 35,343,014 events, window 2005-01-01 to 2026-04-30 (spine_receipt.json reconciles every source row). New against the 2015 spine: the window opens 2005, where the authority, revocation and OOS files reach their modern volumes (authority actions 49k in 2003, 108k in 2004, 141k in 2005; OOS orders under 1,100 a year before 2004); and state that began before the window and still holds at its start enters as one event dated 2005-01-01: 279,792 insurance_on_file (a policy in force) and 204,604 authority_on_file (an authority granted and not disposed of). Resources: the census ladder, the SMS ladder and the census link table (census_links.parquet: carriers sharing a phone, email or address in a capture, clusters of two to five).

Decisions. The 2005 opening and the on-file seeds fix the blind spot trucking-7 measured (7.5% of open policies predate the old window) for policies and authority alike. Crash rows carry a DOT number 68% of the time in 2005 against 79% now; a caveat, not a gate.

What the next stage needs to know. Recipes name pipeline/ingest/data/trucking_2005 as their stream. Census captures exist from 2011-09, SMS files from 2016-03, so those columns read absent before; the inspection file starts 2023-10 and the fusion basis does not read it.

Receipts (3)
spine_receipt.json
{
 "window": [
  "2005-01-01",
  "2026-04-30"
 ],
 "built_utc": "2026-10-13T14:36:09+00:00",
 "sources": {
  "company_census": {
   "rows": 4513257,
   "emitted_rows": 3245866,
   "dropped": {
    "registered:after_window": 81040,
    "registered:before_window": 1186351,
    "row_without_events": 1267391
   },
   "verbs": {
    "registered": 3245866
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "crash_file": {
   "rows": 5002222,
   "emitted_rows": 2681883,
   "dropped": {
    "crash:after_window": 45697,
    "crash:before_window": 900561,
    "no_dot": 1374081,
    "row_without_events": 946258
   },
   "verbs": {
    "crash": 2681883
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "vehicle_inspection": {
   "rows": 8305282,
   "emitted_rows": 7014905,
   "dropped": {
    "inspection:after_window": 1290377,
    "row_without_events": 1290377
   },
   "verbs": {
    "inspection": 7014905
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "oos_orders": {
   "rows": 401677,
   "emitted_rows": 380844,
   "dropped": {
    "oos_order:after_window": 14167,
    "oos_order:before_window": 13048,
    "oos_rescinded:after_window": 1691,
    "oos_rescinded:before_window": 3050,
    "row_without_events": 20833
   },
   "verbs": {
    "oos_order": 374462,
    "oos_rescinded": 169642
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_inshist": {
   "rows": 7427776,
   "emitted_rows": 5972770,
   "dropped": {
    "insurance_cancelled:after_window": 16314,
    "insurance_cancelled:before_window": 813310,
    "insurance_cancelled:no_date": 6191,
    "insurance_effective:after_window": 658,
    "insurance_effective:before_window": 1225055,
    "insurance_effective:no_date": 1,
    "insurance_name_changed:after_window": 545,
    "insurance_name_changed:before_window": 27009,
    "insurance_name_changed:no_date": 2,
    "insurance_replaced:after_window": 5610,
    "insurance_replaced:before_window": 382295,
    "insurance_transferred:before_window": 3258,
    "no_dot": 229417,
    "row_without_events": 1225589
   },
   "verbs": {
    "insurance_cancelled": 3824697,
    "insurance_effective": 5716104,
    "insurance_name_changed": 138539,
    "insurance_on_file": 256541,
    "insurance_replaced": 1976615,
    "insurance_transferred": 3974
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_actpendinsur": {
   "rows": 467983,
   "emitted_rows": 444808,
   "dropped": {
    "insurance_effective:after_window": 15320,
    "no_dot": 7855,
    "row_without_events": 15320
   },
   "verbs": {
    "insurance_effective": 421557,
    "insurance_on_file": 23251
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_authhist": {
   "rows": 4941925,
   "emitted_rows": 4065653,
   "dropped": {
    "authority_action:after_window": 5409,
    "authority_action:before_window": 612426,
    "authority_action:no_date": 16381,
    "authority_disposition:after_window": 8923,
    "authority_disposition:before_window": 564013,
    "authority_disposition:no_date": 1772,
    "no_dot": 247022,
    "row_without_events": 629250
   },
   "verbs": {
    "authority_action": 3856083,
    "authority_disposition": 3205185,
    "authority_on_file": 204604
   },
   "reconciled": true
  },
  "legacy_revocation": {
   "rows": 1529083,
   "emitted_rows": 1143941,
   "dropped": {
    "no_dot": 69100,
    "revocation_effective:after_window": 2909,
    "revocation_effective:before_window": 149254,
    "revocation_effective:no_date": 220061,
    "revocation_notice:after_window": 25,
    "revocation_notice:before_window": 186892,
    "revocation_notice:no_date": 131719,
    "row_without_events": 316042
   },
   "verbs": {
    "revocation_effective": 1087759,
    "revocation_notice": 1141347
   },
   "reconciled": true
  }
 },
 "events": 35343014,
 "verbs": {
  "authority_action": 3856083,
  "authority_disposition": 3205185,
  "authority_on_file": 204604,
  "crash": 2681883,
  "inspection": 7014905,
  "insurance_cancelled": 3824697,
  "insurance_effective": 6137661,
  "insurance_name_changed": 138539,
  "insurance_on_file": 279792,
  "insurance_replaced": 1976615,
  "insurance_transferred": 3974,
  "oos_order": 374462,
  "oos_rescinded": 169642,
  "registered": 3245866,
  "revocation_effective": 1087759,
  "revocation_notice": 1141347
 }
}
wayback_census/census_ladder_receipt.json
{
 "2011-09": {
  "rows": 1273251,
  "with_dot": 1273251
 },
 "2011-12": {
  "rows": 1278153,
  "with_dot": 1278153
 },
 "2013-01": {
  "rows": 1354473,
  "with_dot": 1354473
 },
 "2013-07": {
  "rows": 1390649,
  "with_dot": 1390649
 },
 "2016-10": {
  "rows": 1462094,
  "with_dot": 1462094
 },
 "2020-09": {
  "rows": 1725423,
  "with_dot": 1725423
 },
 "2021-02": {
  "rows": 1479663,
  "with_dot": 1479663
 },
 "2021-03": {
  "rows": 1482141,
  "with_dot": 1482141
 },
 "2021-10": {
  "rows": 1891310,
  "with_dot": 1891310
 },
 "2022-04": {
  "rows": 1962684,
  "with_dot": 1962684
 },
 "2023-03": {
  "rows": 2030371,
  "with_dot": 2030371
 },
 "2023-04": {
  "rows": 2031787,
  "with_dot": 2031787
 },
 "2023-12": {
  "rows": 2043907,
  "with_dot": 2043907
 },
 "2024-03": {
  "rows": 2046336,
  "with_dot": 2046336
 },
 "2024-04": {
  "rows": 2047277,
  "with_dot": 2047277
 },
 "2024-08": {
  "rows": 2064571,
  "with_dot": 2064571
 },
 "2024-10": {
  "rows": 2063947,
  "with_dot": 2063947
 },
 "2024-11": {
  "rows": 2064178,
  "with_dot": 2064178
 },
 "2024-12": {
  "rows": 2062645,
  "with_dot": 2062645
 },
 "2025-01": {
  "rows": 2064695,
  "with_dot": 2064695
 },
 "2025-02": {
  "rows": 2066386,
  "with_dot": 2066386
 },
 "2025-04": {
  "rows": 2070586,
  "with_dot": 2070586
 },
 "2025-07": {
  "rows": 2082006,
  "with_dot": 2082006
 }
}
wayback_census/census_links_receipt.json
{
 "2011-09": {
  "phone": 82902,
  "email": 23040,
  "address": 71262
 },
 "2011-12": {
  "phone": 83858,
  "email": 23648,
  "address": 71912
 },
 "2013-01": {
  "phone": 91644,
  "email": 28770,
  "address": 79110
 },
 "2013-07": {
  "phone": 95642,
  "email": 31164,
  "address": 82658
 },
 "2016-10": {
  "phone": 112680,
  "email": 44634,
  "address": 98870
 },
 "2020-09": {
  "phone": 63158,
  "email": 30290,
  "address": 67136
 },
 "2021-02": {
  "phone": 50198,
  "email": 33804,
  "address": 54924
 },
 "2021-03": {
  "phone": 50008,
  "email": 33740,
  "address": 55290
 },
 "2021-10": {
  "phone": 88948,
  "email": 43590,
  "address": 100962
 },
 "2022-04": {
  "phone": 92096,
  "email": 45176,
  "address": 107720
 },
 "2023-03": {
  "phone": 176618,
  "email": 84872,
  "address": 187136
 },
 "2023-04": {
  "phone": 176876,
  "email": 84928,
  "address": 187852
 },
 "2023-12": {
  "phone": 180404,
  "email": 87138,
  "address": 192320
 },
 "2024-03": {
  "phone": 183070,
  "email": 88432,
  "address": 194972
 },
 "2024-04": {
  "phone": 184040,
  "email": 88738,
  "address": 195762
 },
 "2024-08": {
  "phone": 188000,
  "email": 90888,
  "address": 200214
 },
 "2024-10": {
  "phone": 188790,
  "email": 91256,
  "address": 201560
 },
 "2024-11": {
  "phone": 189566,
  "email": 91910,
  "address": 202352
 },
 "2024-12": {
  "phone": 190234,
  "email": 92058,
  "address": 202634
 },
 "2025-01": {
  "phone": 191494,
  "email": 92620,
  "address": 204078
 },
 "2025-02": {
  "phone": 193004,
  "email": 93644,
  "address": 205502
 },
 "2025-04": {
  "phone": 195132,
  "email": 95344,
  "address": 207940
 },
 "2025-07": {
  "phone": 198070,
  "email": 96948,
  "address": 210808
 }
}
11 files, 12.86 GB
  • Event spine · 1 file12.24 GB
  • canonical_events.jsonl2cf8dfc3ce8d12.24 GB
  • Resource · 3 files618.4 MB
  • wayback_census/census_ladder.parquetaf587c5c50ee313.7 MB
  • wayback_census/census_links.parquet324a7589522445.4 MB
  • wayback_sms/sms_ladder.parquet5e14cdcc3206259.3 MB
  • Receipt · 6 files84 kB
  • spine_receipt.json8555ab04f9b84 kB
  • wayback_census/census_ladder_receipt.json4ec2d3f493001 kB
  • wayback_census/census_links_receipt.jsona3e903dbe1cb2 kB
  • wayback_census/manifest.json0e481a8ef4ea12 kB
  • wayback_sms/manifest.jsonb82fae95f61f52 kB
  • wayback_sms/sms_ladder_receipt.jsonca58d2d8d2b812 kB
  • Phase_report · 1 file2 kB
  • REPORT.md3c0834f390732 kB
Events
35,343,014 in 1 stream
Span
1 Jan 2005 → 30 Apr 2026
Source
FMCSA DataHub (datahub.transportation.gov) downloads of 2026-10-06, 23 Wayback SMS census captures 2011-09 to 2025-07, and 95 Wayback SMS score files 2016-03 to 2025-07 fetched 2026-10-12, as of 13 Oct 2026
Published
13 Oct 2026
4 modelstrained or exported over it
carrier_s1_carrier_only_smoke · 13 Oct 2026carrier_s1_fusion_smoke · 13 Oct 2026carrier_s20_carrier_only_v1 · 14 Oct 2026carrier_s20_insurer_only_v1 · 14 Oct 2026
02 · Features

Featurization

An Atlas recipe declares how events become model inputs.

2 feature recipes
03 · Training

Recipes and runs

A Praxis recipe fixes the model, the objective and the split.

7 training recipes
7 runs

carrier_s20_fusion_v2 carrier_s20_fusion_v2__r1__c046c980

14 files, 5.74 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file5.47 GB
  • latents.npyd464c97114e75.47 GB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files243.1 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.json65fbd9f6253a89.6 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json1f07298d56ef153.4 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files31.4 MB
  • checkpoint.pt9504a428fbbb23.6 MB
  • model.ptc3ca3067da2d7.9 MB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files1.2 MB
  • progress.jsonlc1fdd7fabd451.2 MB
  • sampling.json85c8b1c3c2b4880 B
  • Configuration · 4 files646 kB
  • fusion_config.json1c23f07227161 kB
  • praxis_execution.json2ec4fc45add7275 B
  • praxis.jsonb613e420952d630 kB
  • run_manifest.json4dad26ef7a6515 kB
  • Transform · 1 file101 kB
  • feature_transform.json799b43bef5f8101 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file152 B
  • metrics.json0256051e97d9152 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-14
Origin
code 52ceefeecc4b
Published
15 Oct 2026
5.74 GB14 artifacts

carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2__r1__82400147

59 files, 3.39 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file2.73 GB
  • latents.npy944ca11e414e2.73 GB
  • Evaluation outputs · 45 files398.8 MB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/2ad86b4f-37e7-45e7-87f7-95ea2c58ba76/hazard.jsond722857a578323 kB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/2ad86b4f-37e7-45e7-87f7-95ea2c58ba76/results.jsonfaca8bd4b14173 kB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/57eeec3d-238d-440a-a418-95ed46e58554/failed.jsonc0c68f0cc80e2 kB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/a1d91fae-fde0-43f4-992a-57449bc22da0/failed.jsone50a325e16912 kB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/c152ce47-c3ed-4c04-af2d-5bafed7c50b6/failed.json6b6ae032d2892 kB
  • gnomon/hazard_composed_v1/d8e7cf18-b7bd-4c97-a09a-a95c1b9f8f87/failed.json8f82e1786ef22 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/0f7f28be-42d2-4fd4-a8e2-315a637c2d25/backtest.parqueta94c0784a49610.0 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/0f7f28be-42d2-4fd4-a8e2-315a637c2d25/carriers.parquet26ab69168a4a14.3 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/0f7f28be-42d2-4fd4-a8e2-315a637c2d25/frontier_manifest.jsonf0c8cb0f7c294 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/0f7f28be-42d2-4fd4-a8e2-315a637c2d25/frontier.jsonaa54ab64c93c36 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/0f7f28be-42d2-4fd4-a8e2-315a637c2d25/results.json7efd0d41302e142 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/a39bccbf-5afe-432f-94a7-5406080b921a/backtest.parquet8a8fa3c227bf10.0 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/a39bccbf-5afe-432f-94a7-5406080b921a/carriers.parquet9d23e97c0de016.7 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/a39bccbf-5afe-432f-94a7-5406080b921a/frontier_manifest.json38bdc1db79c94 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/a39bccbf-5afe-432f-94a7-5406080b921a/frontier.json387912d9a11036 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/a39bccbf-5afe-432f-94a7-5406080b921a/results.json4bbf79b3f760142 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e2e792ff-a24f-4cec-9ed0-1fb78c64ecdc/backtest.parquet2a59b344639410.0 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e2e792ff-a24f-4cec-9ed0-1fb78c64ecdc/carriers.parquetbbada7a81a3b10.2 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e2e792ff-a24f-4cec-9ed0-1fb78c64ecdc/frontier_manifest.jsonfdeff03c5d1e4 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e2e792ff-a24f-4cec-9ed0-1fb78c64ecdc/frontier.json0cd4fbfca8da36 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e2e792ff-a24f-4cec-9ed0-1fb78c64ecdc/results.json754df2179cfe142 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e968036e-a116-4ee4-8849-3fd1a4eab624/backtest.parquet05972e08191e10.0 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e968036e-a116-4ee4-8849-3fd1a4eab624/carriers.parquet4e8a6c6cd93047.1 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e968036e-a116-4ee4-8849-3fd1a4eab624/frontier_manifest.json125313b184e54 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e968036e-a116-4ee4-8849-3fd1a4eab624/frontier.json3d34f313344436 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/e968036e-a116-4ee4-8849-3fd1a4eab624/results.json5d28525cbacd142 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/fd5471b6-db07-4254-8ca8-5b44db05a330/backtest.parquet948ca1b2a8e110.0 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/fd5471b6-db07-4254-8ca8-5b44db05a330/carriers.parquet6d6ef7b2a72e47.1 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/fd5471b6-db07-4254-8ca8-5b44db05a330/frontier_manifest.json46173936c6884 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/fd5471b6-db07-4254-8ca8-5b44db05a330/frontier.jsone674a9b70aaa36 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_frontier_v1/fd5471b6-db07-4254-8ca8-5b44db05a330/results.json33b825e2ff07142 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/68d37995-eccc-4abb-94cc-6aaf9569d5f0/lead.json451c97cbb7bc18 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/68d37995-eccc-4abb-94cc-6aaf9569d5f0/lead.parquet5ce33a9cf6858.3 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/68d37995-eccc-4abb-94cc-6aaf9569d5f0/results.json65c09a38e91945 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/da781b3b-1dcd-4609-8027-b6789953aaef/lead.json61f34b581ca810 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/da781b3b-1dcd-4609-8027-b6789953aaef/lead.parquetc601e23a6dbd4.8 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_lead_v1/da781b3b-1dcd-4609-8027-b6789953aaef/results.json4790b051f2df29 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/446409b8-f147-4bf3-ba66-0160c09d0337/moves.json3b4c04d9366a64 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/446409b8-f147-4bf3-ba66-0160c09d0337/results.jsondf74f136aee81 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/446409b8-f147-4bf3-ba66-0160c09d0337/surprise.parquetaa16f708363099.4 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/446409b8-f147-4bf3-ba66-0160c09d0337/transitions.json6add1cae2a6b512 B
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/eb7c9c39-fc63-4f29-81d1-042379fb2792/moves.json1f568e029f4665 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/eb7c9c39-fc63-4f29-81d1-042379fb2792/results.jsondf74f136aee81 kB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/eb7c9c39-fc63-4f29-81d1-042379fb2792/surprise.parquetaa16f708363099.4 MB
  • gnomon/trucking_transitions_v1/eb7c9c39-fc63-4f29-81d1-042379fb2792/transitions.json586236e03d18498 B
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files243.1 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.json65fbd9f6253a89.6 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json1f07298d56ef153.4 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files10.8 MB
  • checkpoint.ptec31557ee3078.1 MB
  • model.ptfffcdd006a622.7 MB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files1.2 MB
  • progress.jsonl4c1b8bd8bb381.2 MB
  • sampling.jsondcab06c85129443 B
  • Configuration · 4 files646 kB
  • fusion_config.json48b1eaa05732740 B
  • praxis_execution.jsond3eb54b9e7b2275 B
  • praxis.jsona4a628a47435630 kB
  • run_manifest.json4dad26ef7a6515 kB
  • Transform · 1 file101 kB
  • feature_transform.json799b43bef5f8101 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file127 B
  • metrics.json706b7d936880127 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-14
Origin
code fb5dbd8d91f3
Published
14 Oct 2026
3.39 GB59 artifacts
Ask this model ↓

carrier_s20_insurer_only_v2 carrier_s20_insurer_only_v2__r1__81ba8667

14 files, 2.38 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file2.07 GB
  • latents.npya5fec464545b2.07 GB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files298.1 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.json700e265157c4181.0 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json0436a9d058d3117.1 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files10.8 MB
  • checkpoint.pt7c24699850b88.1 MB
  • model.pte75ac3498ac72.7 MB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files886 kB
  • progress.jsonla814b4cf25ba885 kB
  • sampling.json6ebea84d9e35440 B
  • Configuration · 4 files646 kB
  • fusion_config.jsona96d78de3069740 B
  • praxis_execution.jsond3eb54b9e7b2275 B
  • praxis.json271e71d53a65630 kB
  • run_manifest.json4dad26ef7a6515 kB
  • Transform · 1 file101 kB
  • feature_transform.json799b43bef5f8101 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file127 B
  • metrics.jsonaac5a442947b127 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-14
Origin
code fb5dbd8d91f3
Published
14 Oct 2026
2.38 GB14 artifacts

carrier_s20_insurer_only_v1 carrier_s20_insurer_only_v1__r1__09582f6e

14 files, 2.33 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file2.06 GB
  • latents.npy586e59a69a4e2.06 GB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files259.0 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.jsondb42e495afab142.5 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json4cd60db1dd09116.4 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files10.0 MB
  • checkpoint.ptd53855964d7e7.5 MB
  • model.pt92bf670c3ade2.5 MB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files879 kB
  • progress.jsonl2896ae3376b1879 kB
  • sampling.jsondddf46ec321e439 B
  • Configuration · 4 files438 kB
  • fusion_config.json78584f8a5021739 B
  • praxis_execution.jsonfaad4e426a3f275 B
  • praxis.json67aa8c488b41424 kB
  • run_manifest.json378fea19833b13 kB
  • Transform · 1 file81 kB
  • feature_transform.json557daeb21b0781 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file127 B
  • metrics.json5102f4f20e86127 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-13
Origin
code 0eec28d11022
Published
14 Oct 2026
2.33 GB14 artifacts

carrier_s20_carrier_only_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v1__r1__5e4131b4

14 files, 2.96 GB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file2.71 GB
  • latents.npy59789a2834aa2.71 GB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files240.4 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.jsonecb9f52ad63a88.8 MB
  • latent_event_ids.jsone6c701bb24b9151.6 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files10.0 MB
  • checkpoint.pt3f620df38d227.5 MB
  • model.pt5c107ed6889d2.5 MB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files1.2 MB
  • progress.jsonl546e5a5d54351.2 MB
  • sampling.json5b12f20c0551443 B
  • Configuration · 4 files438 kB
  • fusion_config.json007992380b8e739 B
  • praxis_execution.json57b2624bdda8275 B
  • praxis.json8e84e2c8352f424 kB
  • run_manifest.json378fea19833b13 kB
  • Transform · 1 file81 kB
  • feature_transform.json557daeb21b0781 kB
  • Metrics · 1 file127 B
  • metrics.json6f25fc51791e127 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-13
Origin
code de8fb95fbe9f
Published
14 Oct 2026
2.96 GB14 artifacts

carrier_s1_fusion_smoke carrier_s1_fusion_smoke__r1__40b674bd

14 files, 343.8 MB
  • Latent matrices · 1 file300.1 MB
  • latents.npy304ac9e110ef300.1 MB
  • Checkpoints · 2 files29.8 MB
  • checkpoint.pt4d20826d7bdf22.4 MB
  • model.ptd0afb32eea5f7.5 MB
  • Sample and event ids · 2 files13.4 MB
  • latent_episode_ids.jsona2f400e2adea4.9 MB
  • latent_event_ids.json062ed426e9728.4 MB
  • Configuration · 4 files438 kB
  • fusion_config.json1b974c3dc6b21 kB
  • praxis_execution.json223e97a49e2b275 B
  • praxis.json3816ccef610d424 kB
  • run_manifest.json378fea19833b13 kB
  • Transform · 1 file80 kB
  • feature_transform.jsonf3355b725f2c80 kB
  • Auxiliary · 2 files6 kB
  • progress.jsonl356bed546d785 kB
  • sampling.json2b64625676a5868 B
  • Metrics · 1 file149 B
  • metrics.json7f083eb4255a149 B
  • Split · 1 file106 B
  • split.jsonc9b9f16601c5106 B
Status
finished platform smoke
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-13
Origin
code b106f97823de
Published
13 Oct 2026
343.8 MB14 artifacts

carrier_s1_carrier_only_smoke carrier_s1_carrier_only_smoke__r1__862bc826

No files recorded.

Status
incomplete publication platform smoke
Trained on
trucking_2005 @ asof-2026-10-13
Origin
code 3277b2065fa1
Created
13 Oct 2026
0 B0 artifacts
04 · Evaluation

How it compares to other methods

uses the world modelother methodcoin flip

AUC is the chance a method ranks a case that happened above one that didn't: 0.5 is a coin flip, 1.0 is perfect.

Insured operating carriers, composed

The carrier run composed with the insurer run, against the carrier run alone and public records with CSA.

Carriers likely to lose their insurance

within 12 months
composed both0.777
world model + all0.675
public records csa0.658
0.500.600.700.80

Carriers likely to have a crash

within 12 months
composed both0.806
world model + all0.805
public records csa0.629
0.500.600.700.80

Carriers likely to lose their operating authority

within 12 months
composed both0.686
world model + all0.672
public records csa0.764
0.500.600.700.80

The served forecast's calibration

The heads behind vei trucking, fitted on earlier years and graded on the latest fully observed year.

Cover lost

within 12 months
composed both csa0.784
public records csa0.773
composed both0.694
0.500.600.700.800.90

Cover lost

within 6 months
composed both csa0.800
composed both0.798
public records csa0.702
0.500.600.700.800.90

Crash any

within 12 months
composed both csa0.814
public records csa0.811
composed both0.645
0.500.600.700.800.90

Crash any

within 6 months
composed both csa0.832
public records csa0.830
composed both0.653
0.500.600.700.800.90

Crash severe

within 12 months
composed both csa0.833
public records csa0.830
composed both0.627
0.500.600.700.800.90

Crash severe

within 6 months
composed both csa0.851
public records csa0.849
composed both0.621
0.500.600.700.800.90

Oos order

within 12 months
composed both csa0.913
public records csa0.909
composed both0.633
0.500.600.700.800.90

Oos order

within 6 months
composed both csa0.904
public records csa0.898
composed both0.648
0.500.600.700.800.90

Revocation effective

within 12 months
composed both csa0.776
public records csa0.768
composed both0.688
0.500.600.700.800.90

Revocation effective

within 6 months
composed both csa0.802
public records csa0.793
composed both0.719
0.500.600.700.800.90

How much earlier the world model warns

First months each model flagged a carrier before it lost cover or authority.

Cover lost

within 12 months
composed both csa0.701
composed both0.694
public records csa0.773
0.500.600.700.80

Revocation effective

within 12 months
composed both csa0.695
composed both0.688
public records csa0.672
0.500.600.700.80
How they are graded: 3 eval configs

hazard_composed_v1 eval config · revision 1 · pipeline/infer/trucking/recipes/hazard_composed_v1.yaml

Targets
cover_lost 12mo
revocation_effective 12mo
crash_any 12mo
Arms
public_records_csa, both, composed_both
Heads
logistic
Split
the run's own split
Uncertainty
per episode, paired cluster bootstrap
18 cellsover 1 run
carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2

trucking_frontier_v1 eval config · revision 2 · pipeline/infer/trucking/recipes/trucking_frontier_v1.yaml

Targets
cover_lost 6mo, 12mo
revocation_effective 6mo, 12mo
crash_any 6mo, 12mo
crash_severe 6mo, 12mo
oos_order 6mo, 12mo
Arms
public_records_csa, composed_both_csa
Heads
logistic
Split
the run's own split
Uncertainty
per episode, paired cluster bootstrap
200 cellsover 1 run
carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2

trucking_lead_v1 eval config · revision 2 · pipeline/infer/trucking/recipes/trucking_lead_v1.yaml

Targets
cover_lost 12mo
revocation_effective 12mo
Arms
public_records_csa, composed_both, composed_both_csa
Heads
logistic
Split
the run's own split
Uncertainty
per episode, paired cluster bootstrap
20 cellsover 1 run
carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2
All 238 cells, with their numbers and provenance
EvaluationRunTargetArm · headSplitDriftNumbers
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.675
ece 0.024
brier 0.213
auc_ci_hi 0.682
auc_ci_lo 0.667
base_rate 0.395
mean_risk 0.371
positives 9,312
lift_at_1pct 2.521
precision_at_1pct 0.996
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.985
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.021
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.03
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.772
ece 0.022
brier 0.133
auc_ci_hi 0.775
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.204
mean_risk 0.183
positives 47,283
lift_at_1pct 4.799
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.986
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.974
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.777
ece 0.018
brier 0.132
auc_ci_hi 0.78
auc_ci_lo 0.774
base_rate 0.204
mean_risk 0.187
positives 47,283
lift_at_1pct 4.799
ci_hi_vs_both 0.006
ci_lo_vs_both 0.004
delta_vs_both 0.005
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0.003
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0.003
p1_delta_vs_both 0
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.986
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.974
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.689
ece 0.019
brier 0.209
auc_ci_hi 0.697
auc_ci_lo 0.682
base_rate 0.395
mean_risk 0.378
positives 9,312
lift_at_1pct 2.521
ci_hi_vs_both 0.019
ci_lo_vs_both 0.011
delta_vs_both 0.014
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0
p1_delta_vs_both 0
precision_at_1pct 0.996
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.985
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.037
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.031
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.03
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.658
ece 0.015
brier 0.215
auc_ci_hi 0.663
auc_ci_lo 0.651
base_rate 0.395
mean_risk 0.383
positives 9,312
lift_at_1pct 2.489
precision_at_1pct 0.983
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.996
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.962
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.767
ece 0.027
brier 0.134
auc_ci_hi 0.77
auc_ci_lo 0.765
base_rate 0.204
mean_risk 0.177
positives 47,283
lift_at_1pct 4.78
precision_at_1pct 0.977
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.983
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.805
ece 0.009
brier 0.092
auc_ci_hi 0.808
auc_ci_lo 0.802
base_rate 0.146
mean_risk 0.154
positives 33,827
lift_at_1pct 6.693
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.972
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.62
ece 0.007
brier 0.061
auc_ci_hi 0.638
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.067
mean_risk 0.072
positives 1,571
lift_at_1pct 4.406
precision_at_1pct 0.294
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.355
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.233
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.021
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.03
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.121
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.072
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.806
ece 0.008
brier 0.092
auc_ci_hi 0.809
auc_ci_lo 0.803
base_rate 0.146
mean_risk 0.153
positives 33,827
lift_at_1pct 6.708
ci_hi_vs_both 0.002
ci_lo_vs_both 0
delta_vs_both 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0.006
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0
p1_delta_vs_both 0.002
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.975
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.632
ece 0.005
brier 0.061
auc_ci_hi 0.651
auc_ci_lo 0.622
base_rate 0.067
mean_risk 0.071
positives 1,571
lift_at_1pct 4.47
ci_hi_vs_both 0.02
ci_lo_vs_both 0.004
delta_vs_both 0.013
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0.028
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0.03
p1_delta_vs_both 0.004
precision_at_1pct 0.298
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.362
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.231
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.018
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.117
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.068
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.629
ece 0.007
brier 0.06
auc_ci_hi 0.645
auc_ci_lo 0.617
base_rate 0.067
mean_risk 0.071
positives 1,571
lift_at_1pct 5.492
precision_at_1pct 0.366
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.431
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.312
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.809
ece 0.012
brier 0.092
auc_ci_hi 0.812
auc_ci_lo 0.806
base_rate 0.146
mean_risk 0.154
positives 33,827
lift_at_1pct 6.69
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.97
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.672
ece 0.039
brier 0.202
auc_ci_hi 0.678
auc_ci_lo 0.665
base_rate 0.345
mean_risk 0.307
positives 8,125
lift_at_1pct 2.84
precision_at_1pct 0.979
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.996
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.767
ece 0.024
brier 0.121
auc_ci_hi 0.771
auc_ci_lo 0.764
base_rate 0.18
mean_risk 0.156
positives 41,606
lift_at_1pct 5.425
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.98
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.686
ece 0.034
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.692
auc_ci_lo 0.679
base_rate 0.345
mean_risk 0.313
positives 8,125
lift_at_1pct 2.84
ci_hi_vs_both 0.019
ci_lo_vs_both 0.011
delta_vs_both 0.014
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0.017
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0.015
p1_delta_vs_both 0
precision_at_1pct 0.979
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.953
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.035
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.024
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.772
ece 0.022
brier 0.12
auc_ci_hi 0.775
auc_ci_lo 0.768
base_rate 0.18
mean_risk 0.158
positives 41,606
lift_at_1pct 5.405
ci_hi_vs_both 0.005
ci_lo_vs_both 0.004
delta_vs_both 0.005
p1_ci_hi_vs_both 0.001
p1_ci_lo_vs_both -0.007
p1_delta_vs_both -0.003
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.966
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 231,399
auc 0.764
ece 0.027
brier 0.122
auc_ci_hi 0.768
auc_ci_lo 0.761
base_rate 0.18
mean_risk 0.153
positives 41,606
lift_at_1pct 5.377
precision_at_1pct 0.967
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.974
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
hazard_composed_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 23,577
auc 0.657
ece 0.029
brier 0.203
auc_ci_hi 0.666
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.345
mean_risk 0.315
positives 8,125
lift_at_1pct 2.84
precision_at_1pct 0.979
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.998
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.962
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.694
ece 0.022
brier 0.208
auc_ci_hi 0.704
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.369
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.781
ece 0.032
brier 0.128
auc_ci_hi 0.784
auc_ci_lo 0.776
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.042
precision_at_1pct 0.98
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.695
ece 0.027
brier 0.208
auc_ci_hi 0.706
auc_ci_lo 0.686
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.365
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.782
ece 0.037
brier 0.128
auc_ci_hi 0.785
auc_ci_lo 0.777
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.157
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.035
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.782
ece 0.037
brier 0.128
auc_ci_hi 0.785
auc_ci_lo 0.778
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.157
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.035
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.695
ece 0.027
brier 0.208
auc_ci_hi 0.706
auc_ci_lo 0.686
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.364
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.784
ece 0.034
brier 0.127
auc_ci_hi 0.787
auc_ci_lo 0.779
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.161
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.029
precision_at_1pct 0.977
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.701
ece 0.019
brier 0.206
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.692
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.373
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.035
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.018
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.027
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.701
ece 0.023
brier 0.206
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.692
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.373
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.973
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.035
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.018
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.027
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.784
ece 0.034
brier 0.127
auc_ci_hi 0.787
auc_ci_lo 0.779
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.16
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.035
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.032
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.002
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.674
ece 0.02
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.686
auc_ci_lo 0.664
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.395
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.674
ece 0.02
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.686
auc_ci_lo 0.664
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.395
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.032
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.002
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.032
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.163
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.002
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.674
ece 0.022
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.686
auc_ci_lo 0.664
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.395
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.676
ece 0.016
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.688
auc_ci_lo 0.666
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.39
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.038
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.156
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.009
precision_at_1pct 0.973
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.962
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.038
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.156
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.009
precision_at_1pct 0.973
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.962
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.676
ece 0.016
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.688
auc_ci_lo 0.666
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.39
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.798
ece 0.02
brier 0.079
auc_ci_hi 0.803
auc_ci_lo 0.794
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.09
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.896
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.72
ece 0.023
brier 0.151
auc_ci_hi 0.733
auc_ci_lo 0.709
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.214
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.721
ece 0.023
brier 0.151
auc_ci_hi 0.734
auc_ci_lo 0.709
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.214
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.798
ece 0.02
brier 0.079
auc_ci_hi 0.802
auc_ci_lo 0.793
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.09
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.896
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.798
ece 0.02
brier 0.079
auc_ci_hi 0.803
auc_ci_lo 0.794
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.09
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.896
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.721
ece 0.024
brier 0.151
auc_ci_hi 0.734
auc_ci_lo 0.71
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.213
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.98
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.02
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.8
ece 0.022
brier 0.079
auc_ci_hi 0.804
auc_ci_lo 0.796
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.088
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.896
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.73
ece 0.021
brier 0.149
auc_ci_hi 0.742
auc_ci_lo 0.719
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.216
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.973
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.037
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.73
ece 0.021
brier 0.149
auc_ci_hi 0.742
auc_ci_lo 0.718
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.216
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.168
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.96
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.037
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.8
ece 0.022
brier 0.079
auc_ci_hi 0.804
auc_ci_lo 0.796
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.088
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.896
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.702
ece 0.021
brier 0.153
auc_ci_hi 0.715
auc_ci_lo 0.689
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.228
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.789
ece 0.021
brier 0.08
auc_ci_hi 0.792
auc_ci_lo 0.783
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.089
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.815
precision_at_1pct 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.982
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.702
ece 0.02
brier 0.153
auc_ci_hi 0.715
auc_ci_lo 0.689
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.228
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.789
ece 0.021
brier 0.08
auc_ci_hi 0.792
auc_ci_lo 0.783
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.089
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.815
precision_at_1pct 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.982
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.702
ece 0.02
brier 0.153
auc_ci_hi 0.715
auc_ci_lo 0.689
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.228
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.789
ece 0.021
brier 0.08
auc_ci_hi 0.793
auc_ci_lo 0.783
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.089
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.815
precision_at_1pct 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.982
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.702
ece 0.021
brier 0.153
auc_ci_hi 0.715
auc_ci_lo 0.689
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.228
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.789
ece 0.021
brier 0.08
auc_ci_hi 0.792
auc_ci_lo 0.783
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.089
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.815
precision_at_1pct 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.982
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.789
ece 0.021
brier 0.08
auc_ci_hi 0.792
auc_ci_lo 0.783
base_rate 0.11
mean_risk 0.089
positives 8,634
lift_at_1pct 8.815
precision_at_1pct 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.982
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.958
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.702
ece 0.021
brier 0.153
auc_ci_hi 0.715
auc_ci_lo 0.689
base_rate 0.237
mean_risk 0.228
positives 1,797
lift_at_1pct 4.224
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.645
ece 0.008
brier 0.066
auc_ci_hi 0.671
auc_ci_lo 0.615
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.071
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 5.097
precision_at_1pct 0.373
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.47
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.286
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.025
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.016
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.141
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.08
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.81
ece 0.019
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.814
auc_ci_lo 0.805
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.163
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.97
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.647
ece 0.008
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.674
auc_ci_lo 0.619
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.072
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 5.279
precision_at_1pct 0.387
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.497
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.292
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.022
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.007
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.131
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.08
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.81
ece 0.027
brier 0.092
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.806
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.171
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.789
precision_at_1pct 0.98
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.81
ece 0.027
brier 0.092
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.806
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.171
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.789
precision_at_1pct 0.98
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.647
ece 0.009
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.674
auc_ci_lo 0.619
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.072
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 5.279
precision_at_1pct 0.387
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.497
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.284
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.022
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.132
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.08
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.814
ece 0.015
brier 0.09
auc_ci_hi 0.818
auc_ci_lo 0.81
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.16
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.659
ece 0.007
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.632
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.074
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.007
precision_at_1pct 0.44
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.551
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.333
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.023
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.053
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.096
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.659
ece 0.006
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.688
auc_ci_lo 0.633
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.074
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 5.825
precision_at_1pct 0.427
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.551
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.333
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.023
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.053
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.096
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.814
ece 0.016
brier 0.09
auc_ci_hi 0.818
auc_ci_lo 0.81
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.16
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.811
ece 0.013
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.807
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.157
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.972
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.005
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.675
auc_ci_lo 0.62
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.071
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.189
precision_at_1pct 0.453
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.554
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.354
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.004
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.675
auc_ci_lo 0.62
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.071
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.189
precision_at_1pct 0.453
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.554
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.354
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.811
ece 0.013
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.807
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.157
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.972
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.004
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.675
auc_ci_lo 0.62
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.071
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.189
precision_at_1pct 0.453
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.554
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.354
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.811
ece 0.013
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.807
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.157
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.972
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.649
ece 0.004
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.675
auc_ci_lo 0.621
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.072
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.371
precision_at_1pct 0.467
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.56
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.365
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.811
ece 0.018
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.807
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.162
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.971
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.811
ece 0.018
brier 0.091
auc_ci_hi 0.815
auc_ci_lo 0.807
base_rate 0.144
mean_risk 0.162
positives 11,328
lift_at_1pct 6.798
precision_at_1pct 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.99
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.971
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.649
ece 0.004
brier 0.065
auc_ci_hi 0.675
auc_ci_lo 0.621
base_rate 0.073
mean_risk 0.072
positives 556
lift_at_1pct 6.371
precision_at_1pct 0.467
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.56
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.366
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.653
ece 0.006
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.683
auc_ci_lo 0.619
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 6.663
precision_at_1pct 0.28
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.392
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.007
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.051
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.026
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.022
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.083
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.827
ece 0.014
brier 0.063
auc_ci_hi 0.832
auc_ci_lo 0.823
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.106
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.32
precision_at_1pct 0.95
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.965
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.934
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.653
ece 0.007
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.682
auc_ci_lo 0.619
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 6.663
precision_at_1pct 0.28
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.392
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.008
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.051
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.026
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.083
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.827
ece 0.014
brier 0.063
auc_ci_hi 0.832
auc_ci_lo 0.823
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.106
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.306
precision_at_1pct 0.949
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.966
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.935
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.014
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.827
ece 0.014
brier 0.063
auc_ci_hi 0.832
auc_ci_lo 0.823
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.106
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.306
precision_at_1pct 0.949
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.966
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.934
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.654
ece 0.007
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.684
auc_ci_lo 0.62
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 6.663
precision_at_1pct 0.28
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.395
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.167
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa -0.007
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.05
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.025
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.083
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.832
ece 0.011
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.837
auc_ci_lo 0.828
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.103
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.32
precision_at_1pct 0.95
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.966
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.936
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.01
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.676
ece 0.004
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.707
auc_ci_lo 0.645
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.041
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.44
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.206
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.021
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.073
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.06
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.676
ece 0.004
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.707
auc_ci_lo 0.645
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.041
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.44
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.208
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.02
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.07
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.056
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.832
ece 0.011
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.837
auc_ci_lo 0.828
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.103
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.966
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.934
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.012
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.009
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.826
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.101
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.938
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.679
ece 0.009
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.437
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.215
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.679
ece 0.009
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.437
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.215
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.009
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.826
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.101
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.968
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.939
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.679
ece 0.009
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.437
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.215
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.009
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.826
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.101
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.938
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.679
ece 0.009
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.437
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.215
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.009
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.826
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.101
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.938
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.009
brier 0.062
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.826
base_rate 0.092
mean_risk 0.101
positives 7,229
lift_at_1pct 10.334
precision_at_1pct 0.952
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.969
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.938
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_any 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.679
ece 0.009
brier 0.039
auc_ci_hi 0.712
auc_ci_lo 0.649
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.04
positives 319
lift_at_1pct 7.615
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.437
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.215
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.627
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.67
auc_ci_lo 0.58
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 9.29
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.327
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.151
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.049
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.021
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.067
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.067
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.008
brier 0.051
auc_ci_hi 0.835
auc_ci_lo 0.824
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.079
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.389
precision_at_1pct 0.88
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.905
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.851
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.012
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.629
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.673
auc_ci_lo 0.582
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 9.779
precision_at_1pct 0.267
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.339
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.16
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.047
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.066
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.058
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.027
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.012
brier 0.051
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.083
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.335
precision_at_1pct 0.876
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.908
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.85
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.015
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.629
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.674
auc_ci_lo 0.582
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 9.779
precision_at_1pct 0.267
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.343
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.16
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.047
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.065
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.058
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.027
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.012
brier 0.051
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.083
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.353
precision_at_1pct 0.878
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.909
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.848
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.017
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.833
ece 0.007
brier 0.05
auc_ci_hi 0.839
auc_ci_lo 0.828
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.078
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.353
precision_at_1pct 0.878
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.906
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.85
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.014
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.642
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.69
auc_ci_lo 0.599
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.028
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 10.757
precision_at_1pct 0.293
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.367
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.196
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.03
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.095
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.023
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.053
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.642
ece 0.005
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.69
auc_ci_lo 0.597
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.028
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 10.757
precision_at_1pct 0.293
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.363
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.187
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.031
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.091
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.016
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.053
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.833
ece 0.007
brier 0.05
auc_ci_hi 0.839
auc_ci_lo 0.828
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.078
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.353
precision_at_1pct 0.878
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.907
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.853
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.016
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.006
brier 0.05
auc_ci_hi 0.835
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.076
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.371
precision_at_1pct 0.879
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.907
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.846
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.649
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.688
auc_ci_lo 0.614
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 8.801
precision_at_1pct 0.24
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.342
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.148
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.003
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.612
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 8.801
precision_at_1pct 0.24
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.336
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.15
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.006
brier 0.05
auc_ci_hi 0.835
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.076
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.389
precision_at_1pct 0.88
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.908
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.846
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.003
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.612
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 8.801
precision_at_1pct 0.24
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.334
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.155
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.83
ece 0.006
brier 0.05
auc_ci_hi 0.835
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.076
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.389
precision_at_1pct 0.88
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.908
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.846
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.613
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 8.801
precision_at_1pct 0.24
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.324
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.156
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.831
ece 0.008
brier 0.051
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.079
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.371
precision_at_1pct 0.879
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.907
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.85
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.004
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.613
base_rate 0.027
mean_risk 0.027
positives 207
lift_at_1pct 8.801
precision_at_1pct 0.24
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.322
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.151
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.831
ece 0.007
brier 0.051
auc_ci_hi 0.836
auc_ci_lo 0.825
base_rate 0.071
mean_risk 0.078
positives 5,578
lift_at_1pct 12.371
precision_at_1pct 0.879
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.908
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.851
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.621
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.667
auc_ci_lo 0.559
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 8.434
precision_at_1pct 0.133
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.223
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.066
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.077
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.031
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.039
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.05
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.847
ece 0.006
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.853
auc_ci_lo 0.84
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.049
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.593
precision_at_1pct 0.746
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.787
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.712
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.016
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.621
ece 0.004
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.668
auc_ci_lo 0.56
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 8.434
precision_at_1pct 0.133
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.216
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.066
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.078
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.032
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.047
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.847
ece 0.006
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.853
auc_ci_lo 0.841
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.049
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.593
precision_at_1pct 0.746
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.785
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.71
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.015
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.621
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.668
auc_ci_lo 0.56
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 8.434
precision_at_1pct 0.133
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.213
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.06
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.078
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.032
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.04
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.047
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.847
ece 0.006
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.853
auc_ci_lo 0.841
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.048
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.653
precision_at_1pct 0.749
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.784
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.711
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.018
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.851
ece 0.005
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.857
auc_ci_lo 0.845
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.047
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.623
precision_at_1pct 0.748
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.787
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.71
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.019
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.647
ece 0.004
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.696
auc_ci_lo 0.588
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 12.652
precision_at_1pct 0.2
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.27
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.087
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.037
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.085
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.645
ece 0.005
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.693
auc_ci_lo 0.585
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 11.808
precision_at_1pct 0.187
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.262
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.087
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.079
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.851
ece 0.005
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.857
auc_ci_lo 0.845
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.048
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.623
precision_at_1pct 0.748
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.787
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.71
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.017
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.849
ece 0.004
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.855
auc_ci_lo 0.842
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.046
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.714
precision_at_1pct 0.752
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.783
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.715
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.654
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.701
auc_ci_lo 0.6
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 10.121
precision_at_1pct 0.16
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.227
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.073
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.653
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.598
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 9.278
precision_at_1pct 0.147
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.22
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.073
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.849
ece 0.005
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.855
auc_ci_lo 0.842
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.046
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.714
precision_at_1pct 0.752
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.781
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.716
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.652
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.597
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 9.278
precision_at_1pct 0.147
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.228
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.074
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.849
ece 0.005
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.855
auc_ci_lo 0.842
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.046
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.684
precision_at_1pct 0.75
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.782
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.716
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.653
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.598
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 9.278
precision_at_1pct 0.147
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.22
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.073
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.849
ece 0.005
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.855
auc_ci_lo 0.842
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.046
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.714
precision_at_1pct 0.752
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.781
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.716
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.653
ece 0.003
brier 0.015
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.598
base_rate 0.016
mean_risk 0.014
positives 120
lift_at_1pct 9.278
precision_at_1pct 0.147
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.222
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.073
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 crash_severe 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.849
ece 0.004
brier 0.032
auc_ci_hi 0.855
auc_ci_lo 0.842
base_rate 0.042
mean_risk 0.046
positives 3,331
lift_at_1pct 17.684
precision_at_1pct 0.75
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.782
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.717
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.031
brier 0.14
auc_ci_hi 0.651
auc_ci_lo 0.614
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.183
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.813
precision_at_1pct 0.307
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.41
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.187
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.075
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.145
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.006
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.913
auc_ci_lo 0.904
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.035
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.74
precision_at_1pct 0.296
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.324
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.268
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.038
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.011
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.641
ece 0.03
brier 0.139
auc_ci_hi 0.658
auc_ci_lo 0.622
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.176
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.655
precision_at_1pct 0.28
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.397
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.18
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.022
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.043
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.161
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.91
ece 0.005
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.914
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.033
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.572
precision_at_1pct 0.29
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.313
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.266
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.035
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.012
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.64
ece 0.031
brier 0.139
auc_ci_hi 0.658
auc_ci_lo 0.622
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.176
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.655
precision_at_1pct 0.28
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.401
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.179
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.024
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.046
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.147
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.91
ece 0.005
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.913
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.033
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.656
precision_at_1pct 0.293
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.27
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.039
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.913
ece 0.006
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.917
auc_ci_lo 0.909
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.036
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 10.034
precision_at_1pct 0.304
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.335
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.281
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.046
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.645
ece 0.033
brier 0.139
auc_ci_hi 0.664
auc_ci_lo 0.627
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.192
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 2.207
precision_at_1pct 0.373
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.494
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.26
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.03
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.02
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.135
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.034
brier 0.139
auc_ci_hi 0.667
auc_ci_lo 0.629
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.19
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 2.286
precision_at_1pct 0.387
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.517
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.263
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.032
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.022
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.144
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.042
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.053
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.913
ece 0.005
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.917
auc_ci_lo 0.909
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.035
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 10.118
precision_at_1pct 0.307
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.335
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.281
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.052
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.022
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.008
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.912
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.038
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.404
precision_at_1pct 0.285
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.31
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.254
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.625
ece 0.039
brier 0.141
auc_ci_hi 0.642
auc_ci_lo 0.613
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.207
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.971
precision_at_1pct 0.333
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.447
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.188
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.626
ece 0.039
brier 0.141
auc_ci_hi 0.642
auc_ci_lo 0.613
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.208
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.971
precision_at_1pct 0.333
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.45
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.188
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.008
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.912
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.038
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.404
precision_at_1pct 0.285
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.312
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.253
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.625
ece 0.039
brier 0.141
auc_ci_hi 0.642
auc_ci_lo 0.613
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.208
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.971
precision_at_1pct 0.333
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.45
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.188
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.008
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.912
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.038
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.404
precision_at_1pct 0.285
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.311
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.252
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.629
ece 0.034
brier 0.14
auc_ci_hi 0.646
auc_ci_lo 0.618
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.198
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.971
precision_at_1pct 0.333
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.443
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.208
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.007
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.913
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.036
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.195
precision_at_1pct 0.279
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.31
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.25
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.628
ece 0.034
brier 0.14
auc_ci_hi 0.645
auc_ci_lo 0.616
base_rate 0.169
mean_risk 0.199
positives 1,284
lift_at_1pct 1.892
precision_at_1pct 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.443
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.199
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.909
ece 0.007
brier 0.026
auc_ci_hi 0.913
auc_ci_lo 0.905
base_rate 0.03
mean_risk 0.036
positives 2,382
lift_at_1pct 9.279
precision_at_1pct 0.282
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.308
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.249
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.648
ece 0.023
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.669
auc_ci_lo 0.625
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.078
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.224
precision_at_1pct 0.213
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.318
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.126
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.032
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.04
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.129
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.04
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.899
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.905
auc_ci_lo 0.893
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.017
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.106
precision_at_1pct 0.183
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.212
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.006
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.649
ece 0.024
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.67
auc_ci_lo 0.627
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.079
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.363
precision_at_1pct 0.227
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.322
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.149
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.033
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.058
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.111
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.899
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.904
auc_ci_lo 0.892
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 9.825
precision_at_1pct 0.178
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.21
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.155
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.034
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.011
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.649
ece 0.024
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.669
auc_ci_lo 0.627
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.079
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.085
precision_at_1pct 0.2
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.32
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.147
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.033
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.058
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.121
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.899
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.904
auc_ci_lo 0.892
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 9.825
precision_at_1pct 0.178
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.21
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.154
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.001
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.032
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa -0.011
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.904
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.91
auc_ci_lo 0.897
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 11.86
precision_at_1pct 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.246
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.186
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.044
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.025
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.664
ece 0.017
brier 0.085
auc_ci_hi 0.683
auc_ci_lo 0.64
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.083
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.369
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.17
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.046
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.03
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.09
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.074
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.666
ece 0.019
brier 0.085
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.642
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.082
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.781
precision_at_1pct 0.267
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.399
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.187
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.048
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.033
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.121
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.062
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.904
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.91
auc_ci_lo 0.897
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.017
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 12.001
precision_at_1pct 0.218
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.248
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.187
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.049
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.898
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.903
auc_ci_lo 0.891
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.457
precision_at_1pct 0.19
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.017
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.085
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.367
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.017
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.085
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.367
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.898
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.903
auc_ci_lo 0.891
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.457
precision_at_1pct 0.19
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.017
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.085
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.358
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.898
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.903
auc_ci_lo 0.891
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.457
precision_at_1pct 0.19
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.017
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.085
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.367
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.173
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.898
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.903
auc_ci_lo 0.891
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.457
precision_at_1pct 0.19
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.633
ece 0.017
brier 0.086
auc_ci_hi 0.65
auc_ci_lo 0.61
base_rate 0.096
mean_risk 0.085
positives 728
lift_at_1pct 2.642
precision_at_1pct 0.253
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.367
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.18
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 oos_order 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.898
ece 0.002
brier 0.017
auc_ci_hi 0.903
auc_ci_lo 0.891
base_rate 0.018
mean_risk 0.018
positives 1,425
lift_at_1pct 10.457
precision_at_1pct 0.19
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.215
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.157
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.688
ece 0.026
brier 0.197
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.678
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.316
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.774
ece 0.026
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.778
auc_ci_lo 0.768
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.145
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.718
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.69
ece 0.031
brier 0.197
auc_ci_hi 0.7
auc_ci_lo 0.679
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.312
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.774
ece 0.032
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.779
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.139
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.718
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.774
ece 0.032
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.779
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.14
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.718
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.69
ece 0.03
brier 0.197
auc_ci_hi 0.7
auc_ci_lo 0.679
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.312
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.776
ece 0.027
brier 0.116
auc_ci_hi 0.781
auc_ci_lo 0.771
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.711
precision_at_1pct 0.977
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.695
ece 0.024
brier 0.195
auc_ci_hi 0.705
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.32
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.031
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.024
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.695
ece 0.025
brier 0.196
auc_ci_hi 0.705
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.319
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.031
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.023
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.776
ece 0.027
brier 0.116
auc_ci_hi 0.781
auc_ci_lo 0.771
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.711
precision_at_1pct 0.977
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.768
ece 0.027
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.773
auc_ci_lo 0.763
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.02
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.66
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.329
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.019
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.66
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.328
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.768
ece 0.028
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.773
auc_ci_lo 0.763
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.143
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.671
ece 0.02
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.66
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.329
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.768
ece 0.027
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.773
auc_ci_lo 0.763
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.024
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.686
auc_ci_lo 0.662
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.323
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.767
ece 0.034
brier 0.118
auc_ci_hi 0.772
auc_ci_lo 0.762
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.137
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.767
ece 0.035
brier 0.118
auc_ci_hi 0.772
auc_ci_lo 0.762
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.136
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.983
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.023
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.686
auc_ci_lo 0.662
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.323
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.719
ece 0.024
brier 0.137
auc_ci_hi 0.731
auc_ci_lo 0.707
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.185
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.021
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.047
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.8
ece 0.016
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.804
auc_ci_lo 0.794
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.081
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.049
precision_at_1pct 0.976
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.963
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.719
ece 0.026
brier 0.137
auc_ci_hi 0.731
auc_ci_lo 0.707
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.184
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.021
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.047
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.8
ece 0.016
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.805
auc_ci_lo 0.794
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.081
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.049
precision_at_1pct 0.976
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.963
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.8
ece 0.016
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.805
auc_ci_lo 0.794
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.081
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.049
precision_at_1pct 0.976
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.964
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.01
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.719
ece 0.025
brier 0.137
auc_ci_hi 0.731
auc_ci_lo 0.708
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.184
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.021
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.047
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.802
ece 0.018
brier 0.069
auc_ci_hi 0.806
auc_ci_lo 0.796
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.08
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.036
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.727
ece 0.025
brier 0.136
auc_ci_hi 0.739
auc_ci_lo 0.715
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.186
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.038
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.029
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.047
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.727
ece 0.024
brier 0.136
auc_ci_hi 0.738
auc_ci_lo 0.714
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.186
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.037
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.016
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.047
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.802
ece 0.018
brier 0.069
auc_ci_hi 0.806
auc_ci_lo 0.796
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.08
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.036
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.793
ece 0.018
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.798
auc_ci_lo 0.787
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.079
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.01
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.955
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.698
ece 0.019
brier 0.138
auc_ci_hi 0.708
auc_ci_lo 0.687
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.191
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.698
ece 0.019
brier 0.138
auc_ci_hi 0.709
auc_ci_lo 0.687
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.191
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.792
ece 0.018
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.797
auc_ci_lo 0.787
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.079
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.01
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.955
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.698
ece 0.02
brier 0.138
auc_ci_hi 0.708
auc_ci_lo 0.687
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.191
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.793
ece 0.018
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.798
auc_ci_lo 0.787
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.079
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.01
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.955
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.793
ece 0.018
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.797
auc_ci_lo 0.787
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.079
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.01
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.955
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.698
ece 0.019
brier 0.138
auc_ci_hi 0.708
auc_ci_lo 0.687
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.191
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.792
ece 0.018
brier 0.07
auc_ci_hi 0.797
auc_ci_lo 0.787
base_rate 0.097
mean_risk 0.079
positives 7,623
lift_at_1pct 10.01
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.981
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.955
trucking_frontier_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 6mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.698
ece 0.02
brier 0.138
auc_ci_hi 0.709
auc_ci_lo 0.687
base_rate 0.209
mean_risk 0.19
positives 1,584
lift_at_1pct 4.728
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.694
ece 0.022
brier 0.208
auc_ci_hi 0.705
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.369
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.781
ece 0.032
brier 0.128
auc_ci_hi 0.784
auc_ci_lo 0.776
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.163
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.042
precision_at_1pct 0.98
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.969
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.004
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.781
ece 0.032
brier 0.128
auc_ci_hi 0.784
auc_ci_lo 0.776
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.035
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.015
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.003
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.693
ece 0.022
brier 0.208
auc_ci_hi 0.704
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.369
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.987
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.028
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.019
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.013
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.701
ece 0.02
brier 0.206
auc_ci_hi 0.711
auc_ci_lo 0.692
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.373
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.01
ci_lo_vs_composed_both 0.005
delta_vs_composed_both 0.007
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.973
p1_ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_composed_both -0.027
p1_delta_vs_composed_both 0
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.035
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.018
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.027
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.784
ece 0.033
brier 0.127
auc_ci_hi 0.787
auc_ci_lo 0.779
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.161
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.035
precision_at_1pct 0.978
ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.003
ci_lo_vs_composed_both 0.002
delta_vs_composed_both 0.003
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.967
p1_ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.003
p1_ci_lo_vs_composed_both -0.005
p1_delta_vs_composed_both -0.001
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.012
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.011
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.013
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.005
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.032
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.002
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.674
ece 0.02
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.664
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.395
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.032
brier 0.13
auc_ci_hi 0.776
auc_ci_lo 0.769
base_rate 0.194
mean_risk 0.162
positives 15,254
lift_at_1pct 5.002
precision_at_1pct 0.972
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.984
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 cover_lost 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.674
ece 0.02
brier 0.211
auc_ci_hi 0.687
auc_ci_lo 0.664
base_rate 0.391
mean_risk 0.395
positives 2,970
lift_at_1pct 2.556
precision_at_1pct 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 1
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.688
ece 0.026
brier 0.197
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.678
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.316
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.026
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.778
auc_ci_lo 0.768
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.145
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.718
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.989
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.773
ece 0.026
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.778
auc_ci_lo 0.768
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.145
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.718
precision_at_1pct 0.978
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.007
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.005
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.001
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.004
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.688
ece 0.026
brier 0.197
auc_ci_hi 0.699
auc_ci_lo 0.678
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.316
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.947
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.026
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.017
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.053
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.695
ece 0.024
brier 0.195
auc_ci_hi 0.705
auc_ci_lo 0.685
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.319
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.011
ci_lo_vs_composed_both 0.004
delta_vs_composed_both 0.007
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.946
p1_ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.001
p1_ci_lo_vs_composed_both -0.001
p1_delta_vs_composed_both 0
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.031
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.014
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.024
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.041
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.054
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo composed_both_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.776
ece 0.028
brier 0.116
auc_ci_hi 0.781
auc_ci_lo 0.771
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.143
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.711
precision_at_1pct 0.977
ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.003
ci_lo_vs_composed_both 0.002
delta_vs_composed_both 0.002
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.988
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.968
p1_ci_hi_vs_composed_both 0.003
p1_ci_lo_vs_composed_both -0.004
p1_delta_vs_composed_both -0.001
ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.009
ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa 0.006
delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_hi_vs_public_records_csa 0.008
p1_ci_lo_vs_public_records_csa -0.002
p1_delta_vs_public_records_csa 0.003
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.019
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.66
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.329
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.768
ece 0.028
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.773
auc_ci_lo 0.763
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 78,505
auc 0.768
ece 0.028
brier 0.117
auc_ci_hi 0.773
auc_ci_lo 0.763
base_rate 0.171
mean_risk 0.144
positives 13,432
lift_at_1pct 5.696
precision_at_1pct 0.975
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 0.985
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.961
trucking_lead_v1 carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2 revocation_effective 12mo public_records_csa · logistic from_run_2023-12-31_thin_file
verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%
{
 "tvd": 0.5698108803808186,
 "movers": [
  {
   "verb": "inspection",
   "ratio": 25.303264560836283,
   "share_after": 0.5932567379920238,
   "share_before": 0.023445857611205267
  },
  {
   "verb": "insurance_effective",
   "ratio": 0.424162813216552,
   "share_after": 0.09074765531691735,
   "share_before": 0.21394533535071367
  },
  {
   "verb": "registered",
   "ratio": 0.3127387464127652,
   "share_after": 0.03694461219078851,
   "share_before": 0.11813250713113597
  }
 ],
 "source": "drift_split_2024-01-01.json",
 "n_after": 10872898,
 "summary": "verb-mix TVD 0.57 across 2024-01-01: inspection 2%→59%, insurance_effective 21%→9%, registered 12%→4%",
 "boundary": "2024-01-01",
 "n_before": 24076108,
 "tvd_read": 0.0593591369337304,
 "convention": "before: day <= 2023-12-31, as the run's split",
 "tvd_without": [
  "inspection"
 ]
}
 n 7,591
auc 0.672
ece 0.019
brier 0.199
auc_ci_hi 0.685
auc_ci_lo 0.66
base_rate 0.342
mean_risk 0.329
positives 2,599
lift_at_1pct 2.882
precision_at_1pct 0.987
precision_at_1pct_ci_hi 1
precision_at_1pct_ci_lo 0.959
05 · Serving

Ask the model

If the query service is cold, it will need a few minutes to warm up.

Serving

idle carrier_s20_carrier_only_v2
Questions this model answers
  • Loading the model's commands…

Choose a question.