Examples
We build worlds that can be replayed, forecast, and scored against what happened next.
Project Confirm and Project OSS are the flagship cases: one learns the clinical-regulatory path of cancer drugs, the other learns how software projects actually move. Bismarck is the fun one. Enron brings the same approach to a company archive, and Technology History makes counterfactuals playable. Public History, Civil War-era news, Torus, Star Wars, and Middle-earth show how far the architecture travels.
FDA oncology
Project Confirm Oncology
Official accelerated-approval outcomes, trials, submissions, and labels become a model that predicts the next FDA gate, event, timing, and withdrawal pressure.
17,703 events. 3,275 held-out windows. Detailed report — review access.
Software operations
Project OSS
Repository histories become operational models for PR outcomes, time to merge, review burden, contributor churn, and surprising behavior.
5.13 million events across four major repositories. Detailed report — review access.
The fun one
Bismarck
A simulator for Bismarck's political world: diplomacy, wars, alliances, and the branches that might have changed his life.
The world model beat GPT on 36 of 40 hidden-history forecasts.
Company history
Enron
Pick a day in Enron's history, propose an email as an action, and compare the world model's consequence forecast with GPT reading the same pre-cutoff record.
A fixed corporate archive, replayed without hindsight.
Technology history
Technology History
A browser world model for asking what happens when a technology arrives earlier, later, or not at all, then rerunning the historical trajectory.
Printing presses, penicillin, transistors, and 82 precomputed historical levers.
Macroeconomy
Public History
Macro indicators, policy records, and public reports become a dated economic state for testing memos, warnings, watches, and interventions.
Inflation, rates, credit, labor, fiscal stress, and policy context.
Civil War-era news
Civil War-era public news
A public-news world from 1859-1865: secession, war finance, diplomacy, public confidence, and the choices visible at the time.
The United States before and during the Civil War.
Fictional canon
Torus
A learned world built from a fictional canon, with point-in-time questions, source-grounded answers, and alternate futures from any scene.
A full world-model review surface — review access.
Fictional worlds
Star Wars and Middle-earth
Familiar story worlds become event streams for testing whether the model learns a world's internal logic instead of borrowing facts from the internet.
Rebels, empires, rings, kingdoms, journeys, and consequences.